Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Arkansas Razorbacks Free Prediction 02/16/19

Posts AdminArticles, Basketball, College Basketball

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (17-7, 5-6 SEC) will be at Bud Walton Arena to square off with the Arkansas Razorbacks (14-10, 5-6 SEC) in a SEC matchup. The game starts at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 16, 2019, and will air on SEC Network.

Mississippi State Bulldogs at Arkansas Razorbacks ATS Odds

In their last outing, the Razorbacks lost a winnable game to the Missouri Tigers, 79-78, while the Bulldogs won big over the Alabama Crimson Tide, 81-62.

Mississippi State played a flawless game. They had a turnover percentage of 15.0 (better than their season average of 16.4) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 43.8 (above their season average of 35.0). Alabama had marks of 24.2 and 27.6, respectively, for those same stats. Arkansas, meanwhile, did an excellent job of making free throws (17-23; 73.9 percent). Daniel Gafford played a pivotal role for Arkansas with 26 points and eight rebounds. Lamar Peters had a good game for Mississippi State, putting up 22 points.

The Bulldogs won the sole contest between these two teams last year, 78-75. One of Mississippi State’s biggest advantages was getting to the charity stripe. They made 40 trips to the line, while Arkansas went just 12 times. This is the first time these teams will battle this year.

This game should be a battle of conflicting tempos. Arkansas has preferred to play quickly (33rd in possessions per game), while Mississippi State has been more half-court-oriented (192nd in possessions per game). Also, the Bulldogs rank 24th in offensive rebounding percentage (35.4 percent), while the Razorbacks rank 343rd in defensive rebounding percentage (66.0 percent).

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Arkansas Razorbacks Free Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Arkansas, ATS Winner – Arkansas, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • Mississippi State ranks 31st in rebounds allowed per game (31.7) while Arkansas ranks 263rd (38.7).
  • The Razorbacks average 16.3 assists per game, which ranks 22nd in the nation. The Bulldogs rank 79th in assists allowed per game (12.2).
  • Mississippi State averages 8.3 steals per game, which ranks 24th in the NCAA. Arkansas ranks 56th in steals allowed per game (5.6).
  • The Bulldogs rank 69th in three pointers allowed per game (20.4) while the Razorbacks rank 239th (24.5).
  • Arkansas ranks 17th in blocks per game (5.0) while Mississippi State ranks 117th in blocks allowed per game (3.5).

Bettings Trends:

  • During their last five games, the Bulldogs have scored an average of 79.2 points per game (0.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 76.6 points per game (5.7 above their season average).
  • The Razorbacks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 0.2, down from 4.3 for the season.