The Phoenix Suns (11-46) travel to Golden 1 Center to meet the Sacramento Kings (29-26). The Suns will attempt to snap their 13-game losing streak. Action gets underway at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, February 10, 2019, and can be seen on Fox Sports – Arizona.
Phoenix Suns vs. Sacramento Kings ATS Odds
In their last game, the Kings (3.5-point favorites) covered in a 102-96 victory over the Miami Heat. The Suns fell to the Golden State Warriors, 117-107, but did cover as 17-point underdogs. The Sacramento game went 22.5 points under the projected point total of 220.5, while the Phoenix game finished 5.5 points under the projected point total of 229.5.
The Kings knocked down 19 of their 25 free throws (76.0 percent) and had a better turnover percentage (11.4 vs. 15.7). Phoenix, on the other hand, had a turnover percentage of 8.8 (better than their season average of 13.9). Sacramento’s Buddy Hield had a good game, putting up 23 points and seven rebounds. Kelly Oubre Jr. fueled Phoenix with 25 points and 12 rebounds.
The Suns evened the season series at one with a 115-111 victory in their most recent matchup. Oubre Jr. scored a game-high 26 points. Phoenix had a better turnover percentage (16.5 vs. 21.2). Sacramento, on the other hand, had a better free throw rate (0.250 vs. 0.170). The two teams combined to score 226 points, which was just under the projected point total of 227.5, and Phoenix covered as a 4-point underdog.
Suns games have finished under the total 54.4 percent of the time. Phoenix holds records of 11-46 straight up (SU) and 25-32 against the spread (ATS).
Unlike Phoenix, a little over half of Kings games have finished over the projected point total. Further, Sacramento is 29-26 SU and 32-23 ATS.
This has potential to be a sloppy game for the offense of Phoenix. Phoenix ranks 29th in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 15.0 percent), while the disruptive defense of Sacramento forces the fifth-most turnovers in the NBA (15.1 percent).
Phoenix Suns vs. Sacramento Kings Odds Pick
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Suns, ATS Winner – Suns, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Kings rank 19th in rebounds per game (45.0) while the Suns rank last (39.9).
- Sacramento ranks second in points off turnovers per game (20.4) while Phoenix ranks 29th in points off turnovers allowed per game (19.6).
- The Kings average 51.0 points in the paint per game, which ranks seventh in the league. The Suns rank 27th in points allowed in the paint per game (52.3).
- Sacramento averages 13.6 second chance points per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA. Phoenix ranks last in second chance points allowed per game (15.3).
- Sacramento ranks ninth in assists per game (25.6) while Phoenix ranks 26th in assists allowed per game (25.8).
- The Kings average 21.5 fast break points per game, which ranks first in the NBA. The Suns rank 28th in fast break points allowed per game (15.9).
- The Suns rank second in steals per game (9.1) while the Kings rank 21st in steals allowed per game (8.1).
- Phoenix ranks fifth in three pointers allowed per game (29.4) while Sacramento ranks 29th (34.2).
- Sacramento is 9-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Phoenix is 4-1.
- The Suns are 10-29 when they score over 100 points, while the Kings are 27-22.
- Sacramento is 20-9 ATS at home, while Phoenix is 12-16 ATS on the road.
- The Suns have 14 overs and 14 unders in 28 road games.
- Of the Kings’ 29 home games, they have 16 unders and 13 overs.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Phoenix and Sacramento have both had 3 unders and 2 overs.
- The Kings are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Suns are 3-2.
- During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 116.0 points per game (2.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 111.2 points per game (3.5 below their season average).
- The Suns’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 10.8, up from 9.9 for the season.
