The New Orleans Pelicans (23-29), 10-point underdogs, will be at the AT&T Center to meet the San Antonio Spurs (31-22) in a Southwest Division matchup. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 233 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Southwest at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 2, 2019.
New Orleans Pelicans at San Antonio Spurs Betting Odds
In the Pelicans’ last game, they were topped by the Denver Nuggets, 105-99, but they did cover as 9-point underdogs. The Pelicans, on the other hand, defeated the Brooklyn Nets,117-114, but were not able to cover as 8-point favorites. The New Orleans game went 22.5 points under the projected point total of 226.5, while the San Antonio game went 5 points over the projected point total of 226.
San Antonio dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 24.1 (above their season average of 21.4) and a turnover percentage of 7.4 (better than their season average of 11.2). For those same stats, Brooklyn was 11.9 and 12.1, respectively. New Orleans, on the other hand, held Denver to an offensive rebounding percentage of 13.0 (below their season average of 27.9). San Antonio was led by LaMarcus Aldridge, who contributed 20 points and 13 rebounds. Meanwhile, Kenrich Williams was a key piece for New Orleans with 21 points and eight rebounds.
The Spurs lead the season series two games to one. In their most recent game, the two teams combined to put up 240 points, which was over the projected point total of 227.5. San Antonio won 126-114, covering as a 4.5-point favorite. San Antonio made good use of their 25 trips to the free throw line, converting on 21 of them (84.0 percent). New Orleans, meanwhile, was 17-24 (70.8 percent). In the loss, Okafor had a double-double with 24 points and 15 rebounds.
Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the O/U total of Pelicans games, with 27 overs compared to 24 unders. New Orleans heads into the game with records of 23-29 straight up (SU) and 24-27-1 against the spread (ATS).
Vegas tends to place the total low when the Spurs are involved, as 58.5 percent of their games have finished over the O/U total. Moreover, San Antonio is 31-22 SU and 31-21-1 ATS.
The Pelicans’ Jahlil Okafor has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 21 points,11.0 rebounds,2.6 blocks per game. Meanwhile, Aldridge has averaged 26 points,10.8 rebounds,4.0 assists,1.6 blocks during that same time frame for the Spurs.
The productive offense of San Antonio (fourth in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 112.0) will battle against the porous defense of New Orleans (25th in the league with a defensive efficiency of 110.5). The Spurs should have the advantage on that end of the court.
New Orleans Pelicans at San Antonio Spurs Pick
NBA Tip: SU Winner – Pelicans, ATS Winner – Pelicans, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Pelicans rank 18th in points off turnovers per game (15.9) while the Spurs rank 25th (15.0).
- New Orleans ranks first in points in the paint per game (58.3) while San Antonio ranks 25th (43.6).
- The Pelicans average 26.8 assists per game, which ranks fourth in the league. The Spurs rank 20th in assists allowed per game (24.9).
- New Orleans ranks fifth in rebounds per game (46.9) while San Antonio ranks 20th (44.4).
- San Antonio ranks 16th in three pointers allowed per game (31.8) while New Orleans ranks 28th (33.9).
- The Pelicans rank sixth in second chance points per game (14.8) while the Spurs rank 27th (11.7).
- The Spurs rank 13th in steals allowed per game (7.5) while the Pelicans rank 25th (8.4).
- New Orleans ranks 12th in fast break points per game (14.2) while San Antonio ranks 17th in fast break points allowed per game (13.9).
- New Orleans ranks fifth in blocks per game (5.7) while San Antonio ranks 23rd (4.5).
- New Orleans is 5-1 when they allow below 100 points, while San Antonio is 11-3.
- In games where they reach the century mark, the Pelicans are 23-25 and the Spurs are 30-12.
- San Antonio is 18-10 ATS at home, while New Orleans is 12-15-1 ATS on the road.
- The Pelicans have 16 overs and 12 unders in 28 road games.
- The Spurs have 15 overs and 13 unders in 28 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, New Orleans and San Antonio are both 3-2 ATS.
- The Pelicans have 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games, while the Spurs have 5 overs
- During their last five games, the Pelicans have scored an average of 108.8 points per game (7.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 113.4 points per game (1.5 below their season average).
- The Spurs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.6, up from 2.5 for the season.
