A five-game home winning streak hangs in the balance for the Sacramento Kings (26-25), who will be 3.5-point underdogs when they take on the Philadelphia 76ers (34-18) at Golden 1 Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 235.5 points and it begins at 10 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 2, 2019.
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Sacramento Kings ATS Odds
Both teams covered in their last matchup. The Kings (5-point favorites) defeated the Atlanta Hawks 135-113, while the 76ers (8-point underdog) beat the Golden State Warriors 113-104. The Sacramento game went 11.5 points over the projected point total of 236.5, while the Philadelphia game finished 23.5 points under the projected point total of 240.5.
Philadelphia dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.216 (below their season average of 0.241) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 36.4 (above their season average of 24.1). Golden State was 0.125 and 21.4, respectively, for those same stats. Meanwhile, Sacramento dominated nearly every facet of their game. They had a phenomenal offensive rebounding percentage of 35.7 (above their season average of 22.5) and a turnover percentage of 11.5 (better than their season average of 11.7). For those same stats, Atlanta was 19.1 and 17.1, respectively. Sacramento’s Marvin Bagley III had a solid performance, contributing 17 points and 12 rebounds. Meanwhile, Philadelphia was led by Joel Embiid, who put up 26 points, 20 rebounds and five assists.
The Kings dominated this series last year, emerging victorious in both games. In the most recent matchup, Sacramento won 101-95. The Kings’ 10.6 turnover percentage was their largest strength over the 76ers, who had a rate of 17.2. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
Of the 76ers’ 52 games, 28 have finished over the O/U total. Philadelphia holds records of 34-18 straight up (SU) and 25-27 against the spread (ATS).
Of the Kings’ 51 games, 28 have finished over the projected point total. Moreover, Sacramento owns records of 26-25 SU and 29-22 ATS.
Philadelphia might have a tough time creating turnovers. Sacramento ranks seventh in the league at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.9 percent), while Philadelphia forces the seventh-fewest turnovers (12.4 percent). Moreover, the 76ers rank fourth in effective field goal percentage (0.538), while the Kings rank 24th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.531).
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Sacramento Kings ATS Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – 76ers, ATS Winner – 76ers, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Kings average 8.4 steals per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA. The 76ers rank 22nd in steals allowed per game (8.1).
- Philadelphia ranks fourth in rebounds allowed per game (43.1) while Sacramento ranks last (48.2).
- The 76ers rank sixth in second chance points allowed per game (12.2) while the Kings rank 27th (14.6).
- Philadelphia ranks second in assists per game (27.7) while Sacramento ranks 21st in assists allowed per game (24.9).
- Philadelphia ranks third in blocks allowed per game (4.2) while Sacramento ranks 16th (5.1).
- The Kings average 20.7 points off turnovers per game, which ranks first in the NBA. The 76ers rank 26th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.9).
- The Kings average 21.4 fast break points per game, which ranks first in the NBA. The 76ers rank 15th in fast break points allowed per game (13.6).
- Sacramento ranks seventh in points in the paint per game (51.1) while Philadelphia ranks 18th in points allowed in the paint per game (49.7).
- Philadelphia ranks eighth in three pointers allowed per game (29.9) while Sacramento ranks 29th (34.0).
- Sacramento is 8-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Philadelphia is 9-0.
- When reaching the century mark, the Kings are 24-21 and the 76ers are 34-14.
- Sacramento is 17-8 ATS at home, while Philadelphia is 11-15 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone under in 13 of the Kings’ 25 home games, while 13 of the 76ers’ 26 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The 76ers are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Kings are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Philadelphia has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Sacramento has 4 unders and 1 over.
- The 76ers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 7.8, up from 3.7 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 108.2 points per game (5.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 114.8 points per game (0.2 below their season average).