The Air Force Falcons (9-11, 4-4 MWC) will be at Viejas Arena at Aztec Bowl to square off against the San Diego State Aztecs (11-8, 3-3 MWC) in a MWC matchup. The game is scheduled to start at 10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 30, 2019.
Air Force Falcons vs. San Diego State Aztecs ATS Odds
Both teams were victorious in their last game. The Aztecs defeated the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels 94-77, while the Falcons barely escaped the San Jose State Spartans 73-71.
The Falcons had a phenomenally low turnover percentage of 8.1 (better than their season average of 20.2) and held the Spartans to an offensive rebounding percentage of 19.6 (below their season average of 31.6). Meanwhile, San Diego State played a nearly flawless game. They had a ridiculous free throw rate of 0.421 (above their season average of 0.276) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 42.9 (above their season average of 29.9). For those same stats, UNLV recorded marks of 0.092 and 33.3, respectively. Jalen McDaniels had a good outing for San Diego State, recording 30 points, 13 rebounds and five steals. Ryan Swan played a key role for Air Force with 12 points and 17 rebounds.
In their first matchup this season, Swan led the Falcons to a 62-48 win. He registered a double-double with 15 points and 15 rebounds. The Falcons’ offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over the Aztecs. Air Force had a rate of 29.7, while San Diego State posted a mark of 20.0.
The Falcons’ Lavelle Scottie has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 17 points,6.6 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, McDaniels has averaged 19 points,9.8 rebounds during that same time frame for the Aztecs.
San Diego State figures to have the advantage on the offensive side of the ball. The Aztecs rank 65th in offensive efficiency, while Air Force ranks 216th in defensive efficiency.
Air Force at San Diego State Odds Pick
Pick: SU Winner – San Diego State, ATS Winner – San Diego State, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- San Diego State ranks 42nd in assists per game (15.6) while Air Force ranks 165th in assists allowed per game (13.8).
- The Aztecs rank 17th in blocks allowed per game (2.3) while the Falcons rank 25th (2.5).
- The Falcons average 21.4 three pointers per game, which ranks 178th in the NCAA. The Aztecs rank 246th in three pointers allowed per game (25.5).
- San Diego State ranks 136th in steals per game (6.1) while Air Force ranks 189th in steals allowed per game (7.8).
Bettings Trends:
- During their last five games, the Falcons have scored an average of 73.4 points per game (5.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 66.8 points per game (3.8 below their season average).
- The Aztecs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 9.8, up from 5.8 for the season.
