The Brooklyn Nets (27-23) head to TD Garden to challenge the Boston Celtics (30-19). The Nets are a 10-point underdog and will attempt to extend their six-game winning streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 219.5 points and it is scheduled to start at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday, January 28, 2019.
Brooklyn Nets at Boston Celtics ATS Odds
The Nets come in on a high note after covering the 8.5-point spread against the New York Knicks in their last game, 109-99. The Celtics, on the other hand, were defeated by the Golden State Warriors, 115-111, and were unable to cover as 3-point underdogs. The Brooklyn game finished 13 points under the projected point total of 221, while the Boston game went 6 points under the projected point total of 232.
The Nets, who came into the game averaging an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.1, had a fantastic mark of 40.0 and had a free throw rate of 0.381 (above their season average of 0.212). Boston, meanwhile, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (26.3 vs. 24.4). Kyrie Irving had a good outing for Boston with 32 points, 10 assists and six rebounds. Meanwhile, Brooklyn was lifted by Ed Davis, who had 17 points and 16 rebounds.
The Nets evened the season series at one with a 109-102 victory in their most recent matchup. Despite the loss, Jayson Tatum was a standout player in the game, putting up 34 points and five rebounds. The Nets’ 29.5 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest advantage over the Celtics, who had a mark of 19.2. Brooklyn covered as a 2-point underdog and the two teams combined to score 211 points, which was under the projected point total of 217.
Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the total of Nets games, with 25 overs compared to 24 unders. Brooklyn heads into the contest with records of 27-23 straight up (SU) and 28-22 against the spread (ATS).
Of the Celtics’ 49 games, 29 have finished over the total. Moreover, Boston is 30-19 SU and 25-24 ATS.
Boston should be expected to protect the ball well in this contest. Boston ranks fourth in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.8 percent), while Brooklyn forces the sixth-fewest turnovers (12.3 percent).
Nets vs. Celtics Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Celtics, ATS Winner – Nets, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Nets rank ninth in second chance points per game (13.8) while the Celtics rank 11th in second chance points allowed per game (13.0).
- Boston ranks third in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.8) while Brooklyn ranks 26th (17.9).
- The Celtics rank fifth in points allowed in the paint per game (44.7) while the Nets rank 25th (51.2).
- Boston ranks seventh in fast break points per game (16.4) while Brooklyn ranks 26th (9.9).
- Brooklyn ranks 10th in rebounds per game (46.2) while Boston ranks 23rd in rebounds allowed per game (45.6).
- The Celtics rank sixth in steals per game (8.8) while the Nets rank 28th (6.5).
- The Celtics rank ninth in blocks per game (5.5) while the Nets rank 27th (4.0).
- Boston allows the fourth-fewest assists per game (22.7) while Brooklyn ranks fifth (22.8).
- Brooklyn ranks third in three pointers allowed per game (28.4) while Boston ranks 24th (33.1).
- When allowing under 100 points, Brooklyn is 7-1 and Boston is 10-2.
- In games where they score above 100 points, the Celtics are 30-15 and the Nets are 26-17.
- Brooklyn is 14-10 ATS on the road, while Boston is 16-9 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 15 of the Celtics’ 25 home games, while 12 of the Nets’ 24 road games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- The Nets are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Celtics are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Brooklyn has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Boston has 3 unders and 2 overs.
- During their last five games, the Nets have scored an average of 121.6 points per game (9.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 112.0 points per game (0.6 above their season average).
- The Celtics’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 7.6, up from 6.3 for the season.
