Milwaukee Bucks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Free Prediction 01/27/19

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It will be a showdown between two sensational offenses when the Oklahoma City Thunder (30-18), 1-point favorites, challenge the Milwaukee Bucks (35-12) at Chesapeake Energy Arena. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 233 points and it can be seen on ESPN at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, January 27, 2019.

Milwaukee Bucks at Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Odds

Both teams beat their last opponent. The Thunder (14-point favorites) defeated the New Orleans Pelicans 122-116, while the Bucks (11-point favorites) beat the Charlotte Hornets 108-99. The Oklahoma City game went 8 points over the projected point total of 230, while the Milwaukee game finished 23 points under the projected point total of 230.

Milwaukee dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a superb turnover percentage of 10.0 (better than their season average of 12.2) and a free throw rate of 0.225 (above their season average of 0.192). For those same stats, Charlotte had marks of 14.4 and 0.189, respectively. Oklahoma City, on the other hand, won the rebounding battle. The Thunder had more offensive rebounds (15 vs. eight), defensive rebounds (43 vs. 34) and total rebounds (58 vs. 42). Oklahoma City was lifted by Russell Westbrook, who registered 23 points, 17 rebounds and 16 assists. This gave him his 14th triple-double this season. Giannis Antetokounmpo, meanwhile had a good game for Milwaukee, putting up 34 points and 14 rebounds.

This was a highly contested series last year. Each won one of the two games played against each other last season. The Bucks won the last game 97-95. The Bucks’ turnover percentage was their largest strength over the Thunder. Milwaukee had a rate of 8.9, while Oklahoma City posted a mark of 11.6. This is the first time these teams will go head-to-head this year.

Of the Bucks’ 47 games, 25 have finished under the total. Milwaukee holds records of 35-12 straight up (SU) and 26-19-2 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to Milwaukee, just over half of Thunder games have finished over the total. Further, Oklahoma City is 30-18 SU and 26-22 ATS.

Baskets could be hard to come by as a pair of the NBA’s top defenses battle. Oklahoma City ranks fifth in defensive efficiency (103.5) and Milwaukee is first (102.2).

Milwaukee Bucks at Oklahoma City Thunder Free Pick

NBA Pick: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Thunder rank first in points off turnovers per game (20.8) while the Bucks rank 10th (17.7).
  • Oklahoma City ranks third in second chance points per game (15.2) while Milwaukee ranks 26th (11.6).
  • The Bucks rank first in points allowed in the paint per game (40.1) while the Thunder rank 19th (49.5).
  • Milwaukee averages 49.0 rebounds per game, which ranks first in the league. Oklahoma City ranks 19th in rebounds allowed per game (45.3).
  • Milwaukee ranks second in blocks per game (6.0) while Oklahoma City ranks 15th (5.2).
  • The Bucks rank third in steals allowed per game (6.9) while the Thunder rank 24th (8.3).
  • The Bucks rank fifth in assists per game (26.3) while the Thunder rank 22nd (23.1).
  • Milwaukee ranks first in fast break points allowed per game (9.6) while Oklahoma City ranks 10th (12.8).
  • Oklahoma City ranks 11th in three pointers allowed per game (30.6) while Milwaukee ranks last (35.7).
  • In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Oklahoma City is 6-0 and Milwaukee is 11-1.
  • The Thunder are 28-12 when they score more than 100 points, while the Bucks are 35-9.
  • Milwaukee is 10-9-2 ATS on the road, while Oklahoma City is 12-11 ATS at home.
  • In 21 road games, the Bucks have 12 unders and 9 overs.
  • The Thunder have 15 overs, 7 unders and 1 push in 23 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Thunder are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Bucks are 2-2-1.
  • In their last five games, Oklahoma City has 4 overs and 1 under, while Milwaukee has 4 unders and 1 over.
  • The Thunder’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.0, up from 4.9 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 115.4 points per game (2.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 100.0 points per game (7.4 below their season average).