Utah Jazz vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Prediction 01/27/19

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The Utah Jazz (28-22) will be at the Target Center to challenge the Minnesota Timberwolves (24-25) in a Northwest Division matchup. Action begins at 7 p.m. ET on Sunday, January 27, 2019.

Utah Jazz at Minnesota Timberwolves ATS Odds

The Jazz had the upper hand in the most recent game, a 106-102 victory, to even the season series at one. Towns had a double-double in the defeat, with 33 points and 10 rebounds. The Jazz’s 9.5 turnover percentage was their largest advantage over the Timberwolves, who had a rate of 12.4. The two teams combined for 208 points, which was under the projected point total of 217.5, and Utah was unable to cover as a 10.5-point favorite.

Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the total of Jazz games, with 26 unders compared to 24 overs. Utah comes into the game with records of 28-22 straight up (SU) and 24-24-2 against the spread (ATS).

Unlike Utah, Timberwolves games have a slight tendency to go over the total (51.0 percent). Further, Minnesota owns records of 24-25 SU and 26-23 ATS.

Expect this one to be a clinic on boxing out as two of the NBA’s top rebounding teams clash. The Timberwolves rank third in offensive rebounding percentage (25.6 percent), while Utah ranks second in defensive rebounding percentage (80.0 percent).

Utah Jazz vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Odds Pick

Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Timberwolves, ATS Winner – Timberwolves, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Timberwolves average 17.7 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. The Jazz rank 24th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.6).
  • Minnesota ranks first in steals allowed per game (6.4) while Utah ranks 28th (8.6).
  • The Jazz rank second in fast break points allowed per game (10.8) while the Timberwolves rank 19th (14.2).
  • Utah ranks third in rebounds allowed per game (42.9) while Minnesota ranks 20th (45.4).
  • Utah ranks fifth in second chance points allowed per game (11.3) while Minnesota ranks 21st (14.3).
  • The Jazz rank first in assists allowed per game (20.8) while the Timberwolves rank 26th (25.7).
  • The Jazz average 5.5 blocks per game, which ranks eighth in the NBA. The Timberwolves rank 24th in blocks allowed per game (5.5).
  • Utah ranks first in three pointers allowed per game (27.0) while Minnesota ranks 24th (33.0).
  • Minnesota is 9-0 when they allow less than 100 points, while Utah is 14-3.
  • The Jazz are 26-12 when they reach the century mark, while the Timberwolves are 24-19.
  • Utah is 12-13-1 ATS on the road, while Minnesota is 14-10 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone over in 13 of the Jazz’s 26 road games, while 14 of the Timberwolves’ 24 home games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Utah and Minnesota have both had 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The Timberwolves are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Jazz are 2-2-1.
  • During their last five games, the Timberwolves have scored an average of 113.8 points per game (2.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 106.4 points per game (4.9 below their season average).
  • The Jazz’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 8.2, up from 3.4 for the season.