A six-game home winning streak hangs in the balance for the Arkansas State Red Wolves (8-8, 2-1 SBC) when they challenge the Troy Trojans (8-7, 1-2 SBC) at Convocation Center. The game gets underway at 5 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 12, 2019.
Troy Trojans vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Odds
In their last matchup, the Red Wolves edged the South Alabama Jaguars, 66-65, while the Trojans fell to the Little Rock Trojans, 73-59.
Arkansas State played a nearly perfect contest. They had a phenomenal free throw rate of 0.408 (above their season average of 0.276) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 40.0 (above their season average of 32.8). For those same stats, South Alabama was 0.109 and 26.8, respectively. Troy, meanwhile, did a terrific job of getting to and converting from the charity stripe (19-26; 73.1 percent). Ty Cockfield II had a good performance for Arkansas State with 22 points. Meanwhile, Jordon Varnado played well for Troy, putting up 26 points and 11 rebounds.
The Trojans won the only game between these two teams last season, 89-83. Troy’s 0.279 free throw rate was their largest strength over Arkansas State, who had a rate of 0.156. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
A focal point for the Arkansas State offense is getting to the free throw line. The Red Wolves rank 47th in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.282), but Troy is among the best in the NCAA at keeping opponents away from the charity stripe (ranking 59th by yielding a FTA rate of 0.191).
Troy Trojans at Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Pick
Free College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Arkansas State, ATS Winner – Troy, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- Arkansas State ranks 46th in rebounds per game (39.1) while Troy ranks 157th in rebounds allowed per game (35.7).
- The Trojans rank third in blocks allowed per game (1.6) while the Red Wolves rank 83rd (3.3).
- Arkansas State ranks 175th in three pointers attempted per game (21.4) while Troy ranks 190th in three pointers allowed per game (24.5).
Bettings Trends:
- During their last five games, the Red Wolves have scored an average of 74.8 points per game (0.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 75.4 points per game (1.0 below their season average).
- The Trojans have been outscored by an average of 2.8 points in their last five games. For the season, Troy has defeated opponents by an average of 3.1 points.
