Chicago Bulls vs. Golden State Warriors Free Prediction 01/11/19

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The Chicago Bulls (10-31) visit ORACLE Arena to challenge the Golden State Warriors (27-14). The Bulls are 15.5-point underdogs and look to snap their five-game losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 221.5 points and it can be seen on NBC Sports Chicago at 10:30 p.m. ET on Friday, January 11, 2019.

Chicago Bulls vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Odds

In the Warriors’ last game, they comfortably covered the 17-point spread against the New York Knicks, 122-95. The Bulls, on the other hand, were topped by the Portland Trail Blazers, 124-112, and failed to cover as 9.5-point underdogs. The Golden State game went 15.5 points under the projected point total of 232.5, while the Chicago game finished 26.5 points over the projected point total of 209.5.

Golden State dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had an absurd offensive rebounding percentage of 33.3 (above their season average of 22.8) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.583 (above their season average of 0.553). New York had marks of 20.9 and 0.432, respectively, for those same stats. Chicago, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (10.6 vs. 14.8). Golden State was lifted by Klay Thompson, who recorded 43 points. Meanwhile, Wendell Carter Jr. had a solid performance for Chicago, contributing 22 points and six rebounds.

In their first matchup this season, Thompson led the Warriors to a 149-124 victory. He scored a game-high 52 points. Golden State covered as an 11-point favorite and the two teams combined for 273 points, which was well over the projected point total of 228. The Warriors’ 6.1 turnover percentage was their largest advantage over the Bulls, who had a rate of 7.6.

Matchups involving the Bulls tend to finish under the projected point total (63.4 percent). Chicago comes into the contest with records of 10-31 straight up (SU) and 19-21-1 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to Chicago, just over half of Warriors games have finished over the O/U total. Golden State has a solid 27-14 SU record, but they are just 17-24 ATS.

The Bulls’ Kris Dunn has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 15 points,8.8 assists,1.4 steals per game. Meanwhile, Thompson has averaged 22 points,5.2 rebounds,1.8 steals during that same time frame for the Warriors.

The productive offense of Golden State (first in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 113.1) will go head-to-head against the mid-tier defense of Chicago (20th in the NBA with a defensive efficiency of 108.8). The Warriors figure to have the advantage on that side of the ball.

Chicago Bulls vs. Golden State Warriors Odds Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Bulls, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Warriors rank 21st in second chance points per game (12.5) while the Bulls rank 29th (9.2).
  • Golden State ranks first in assists per game (28.3) while Chicago ranks 27th (21.6).
  • The Warriors rank seventh in rebounds allowed per game (43.4) while the Bulls rank 27th (47.3).
  • Golden State ranks 12th in three pointers attempted per game (32.4) while Chicago ranks 26th (26.6).
  • Chicago ranks 21st in points in the paint per game (46.8) while Golden State ranks 29th (41.1).
  • The Warriors rank first in blocks allowed per game (3.5) while the Bulls rank 26th (5.9).
  • The Bulls rank 17th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.2) while the Warriors rank 26th (18.1).
  • Chicago ranks 14th in steals per game (7.9) while Golden State ranks 16th in steals allowed per game (7.9).
  • Golden State ranks fourth in fast break points per game (18.1) while Chicago ranks 25th (10.6).
  • In games where they allow less than 100 points, Chicago is 6-5 and Golden State is 5-0.
  • When reaching the century mark, the Warriors are 27-9 and the Bulls are 6-14.
  • Chicago is 9-10-1 ATS on the road, while Golden State is 9-13 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone under in 12 of the Bulls’ 20 road games, while 13 of the Warriors’ 22 home games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Chicago and Golden State have both had 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Warriors are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Bulls are 2-3.
  • The Warriors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 12.6, up from 5.0 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Bulls have scored an average of 100.2 points per game (0.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 113.4 points per game (3.2 above their season average).