A 10-game home winning streak hangs in the balance for the Denver Nuggets (27-12), who will be 5.5-point favorites when they square off with the Los Angeles Clippers (24-16) at Pepsi Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 226 points and it can be seen on Altitude Sports & Entertainmnt at 9 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 10, 2019.
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Denver Nuggets Betting Odds
Both teams covered in their last outing. The Nuggets (2-point underdogs) defeated the Miami Heat 103-99, while the Clippers (6-point favorite) beat the Charlotte Hornets 128-109. The Denver game finished 7.5 points under the projected point total of 209.5, while the Los Angeles game finished 5 points over the projected point total of 232.
The Clippers, who came into the game averaging an effective field goal percentage of 0.528, had a solid mark of 0.591 and had a turnover percentage of 8.9 (better than their season average of 12.4). The Nuggets, meanwhile, had a phenomenal offensive rebounding percentage of 34.1 (above their season average of 28.0) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.523 vs. 0.506). Denver was lifted by Nikola Jokic, who notched his third triple-double this season. He dominated, accumulating 29 points, 11 rebounds and 10 assists. Lou Williams played a pivotal role for Los Angeles with 27 points and 10 assists.
The Clippers had the upper hand in the most recent game, a 132-111 blowout victory, to even the season series at one. Montrezl Harrell put up a double-double in the victory with 20 points and 10 rebounds. Los Angeles had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (35.1 vs. 23.2). Denver, meanwhile, had a much better turnover percentage (7.7 vs. 13.1). Los Angeles covered as a 2-point favorite and the two teams combined to put up 243 points, which was well over the projected point total of 221.
Of the Clippers’ 40 games, 24 have finished over the total. Los Angeles heads into the game with records of 24-16 straight up (SU) and 24-16 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Los Angeles, games involving the Nuggets have gone under the total 53.8 percent of the time. Moreover, Denver owns records of 27-12 SU and 22-17 ATS.
The Clippers’ Williams has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 22 points,4.2 assists per game. Meanwhile, Jokic has averaged 26 points,12.0 rebounds,8.0 assists,2.0 steals,1.4 blocks during that same time frame for the Nuggets.
Look for Denver to own the offensive glass in this contest. The Nuggets are among the league’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking first in offensive rebounding percentage at 28.2 percent. Meanwhile, Los Angeles ranks 25th in the league at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 75.5 percent.
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Denver Nuggets Odds Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Nuggets, ATS Winner – Nuggets, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Nuggets rank 19th in blocks allowed per game (5.3) while the Clippers rank 26th (6.0).
- Denver averages 16.1 second chance points per game, which ranks first in the NBA. Los Angeles ranks 28th in second chance points allowed per game (14.7).
- The Nuggets rank first in rebounds allowed per game (41.8) while the Clippers rank 20th (45.5).
- Denver ranks second in assists per game (27.3) while Los Angeles ranks 21st (22.8).
- Los Angeles ranks fifth in three pointers allowed per game (28.8) while Denver ranks 18th (31.8).
- The Nuggets rank seventh in fast break points allowed per game (11.9) while the Clippers rank 27th (15.6).
- The Nuggets rank 12th in steals per game (8.2) while the Clippers rank 29th (6.3).
- Denver ranks 22nd in points off turnovers per game (15.4) while Los Angeles ranks 28th (14.7).
- Denver ranks fifth in points in the paint per game (52.1) while Los Angeles ranks 24th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.3).
- When allowing below 100 points, Denver is 14-1 and Los Angeles is 4-1.
- The Clippers are 24-11 when they score more than 100 points, while the Nuggets are 26-8.
- Los Angeles is 11-9 ATS on the road, while Denver is 13-6 ATS at home.
- The total has gone under in 10 of the Nuggets’ 19 home games, while 11 of the Clippers’ 20 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Los Angeles and Denver are both 3-2 ATS.
- The Clippers have 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games, while the Nuggets have 4 overs and 1 under
- The Clippers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 4.4, up from 1.8 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Nuggets have scored an average of 114.2 points per game (3.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 111.0 points per game (5.5 above their season average).
