The Golden State Warriors (26-14) will be 17.5-point favorites at home in ORACLE Arena when they go head-to-head with the New York Knicks (10-30). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 230 points and it will air on NBATV at 10:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 8, 2019.
New York Knicks vs. Golden State Warriors ATS Odds
Neither team was able to cover in their last game. The Warriors (8-point favorites) defeated the Sacramento Kings, 127-123, while the Knicks (5.5-point underdogs) fell to the Portland Trail Blazers, 111-101. The Golden State game went 11.5 points over the projected point total of 238.5, while the New York game went 10.5 points under the projected point total of 222.5.
Golden State dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.129 (matching their season average) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.618 (above their season average of 0.551). Sacramento was 0.113 and 0.577, respectively, for those same stats. New York, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (9.8 vs. 12.5). Golden State received a boost from Stephen Curry, who contributed 42 points and five rebounds. Noah Vonleh, meanwhile led the way for New York, recording 16 points and 14 rebounds.
In their first matchup this year, Kevin Durant led the Warriors to a 128-100 victory. He was the game’s leading scorer with 41 points. The two teams combined for 228 points, which was just over the projected point total of 225, and Golden State covered as an 11.5-point favorite. Golden State’s 0.678 effective field goal percentage was its biggest strength over New York, who had a rate of 0.506.
Of the Knicks’ 39 games with betting action, 22 have finished over the O/U total. New York heads into the game with records of 10-30 straight up (SU) and 18-20-1 against the spread (ATS).
Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Warriors games, with 21 overs compared to 19 unders. Golden State has a solid 26-14 SU record, but they have difficulty covering the spread (16-24 ATS).
Vonleh and Emmanuel Mudiay have played at a high level over the last five games for New York. Vonleh has averaged 12 rebounds,10.8 points,1.4 steals,1.2 blocks per game, while Mudiay has recorded 13 points,6.2 assists a game during that span.
Golden State could dominate on the offensive side of the ball as their prolific offense squares off against one of the league’s worst defenses. The Warriors currently rank first in offensive efficiency, while New York ranks 29th in defensive efficiency.
New York Knicks vs. Golden State Warriors ATS Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Knicks, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Warriors average 32.1 three pointers per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA. The Knicks rank 20th in three pointers allowed per game (32.4).
- Golden State ranks first in assists per game (28.1) while New York ranks last (19.9).
- The Warriors rank fourth in fast break points per game (17.7) while the Knicks rank 21st (11.3).
- Golden State ranks 15th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.6) while New York ranks 28th (53.0).
- New York ranks eighth in second chance points per game (14.2) while Golden State ranks 19th in second chance points allowed per game (13.6).
- The Warriors rank first in blocks allowed per game (3.5) while the Knicks rank 28th (6.3).
- The Knicks rank 13th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.6) while the Warriors rank 26th (18.1).
- Golden State ranks fifth in rebounds allowed per game (43.5) while New York ranks 28th (47.8).
- When holding opponents under 100 points, New York is 2-0 and Golden State is 4-0.
- When scoring more than 100 points, the Warriors are 26-9 and the Knicks are 10-22.
- Golden State is 8-13 ATS at home, while New York is 12-11 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone over in 15 of the Knicks’ 23 road games, while 12 of the Warriors’ 21 home games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, New York and Golden State are both 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Knicks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 11.6, up from 8.0 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 123.4 points per game (6.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 116.4 points per game (4.3 above their season average).
