Memphis Grizzlies at New Orleans Pelicans ATS Prediction 01/07/19

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The Memphis Grizzlies (18-21) travel to Smoothie King Center to challenge the New Orleans Pelicans (18-22). The Grizzlies are 5.5-point underdogs and look to snap their five-game losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 213.5 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Southeast at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, January 7, 2019.

Memphis Grizzlies vs. New Orleans Pelicans Betting Odds

In the Pelicans’ last game, they comfortably covered the 9-point spread against the Cleveland Cavaliers, 133-98. The Grizzlies, meanwhile, were thoroughly outplayed by the San Antonio Spurs, 108-88, and were unable to cover as 8.5-point underdogs. The New Orleans game went 8.5 points over the projected point total of 222.5, while the Memphis game finished 8 points under the projected point total of 204.

New Orleans dominated every facet of the contest. They had a superb free throw rate of 0.309 (above their season average of 0.212) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.667 (above their season average of 0.532). Cleveland recorded marks of 0.159 and 0.477, respectively, for those same stats. Memphis, meanwhile, held San Antonio to an offensive rebounding percentage of 8.1 (below their season average of 21.9). New Orleans received a boost from Julius Randle, who contributed 22 points, 12 rebounds and eight assists. Jaren Jackson Jr., meanwhile had a good outing for Memphis, finishing with 15 points and seven rebounds.

In their first matchup this season, Kyle Anderson led the Grizzlies to a 107-103 victory. He registered a double-double with 19 points and 11 rebounds. Memphis covered as a 5-point underdog and the two teams combined to put up 210 points, which was just under the projected point total of 214. The Grizzlies’ 10.3 turnover percentage was their largest strength over the Pelicans, who had a mark of 16.0.

Oddsmakers are known to set the total high when the Grizzlies are involved, as 59.0 percent of their contests have ended under the O/U total. Memphis heads into the contest with records of 18-21 straight up (SU) and 17-22 against the spread (ATS).

In opposition of Memphis, just over half of Pelicans games have finished over the projected point total. Moreover, New Orleans owns records of 18-22 SU and 17-23 ATS.

Randle has been playing at a high level recently for New Orleans, averaging 24 points,8.2 rebounds over the last five games.

Contrasting tempos will be on display in this contest. New Orleans has preferred an up-and-down style of play (seventh in possessions per game), while Memphis has been more half-court-oriented (30th in possessions per game).

Memphis Grizzlies at New Orleans Pelicans Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Pelicans, ATS Winner – Pelicans, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Grizzlies average 18.1 points off turnovers per game, which ranks seventh in the league. The Pelicans rank 19th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.4).
  • New Orleans ranks second in second chance points per game (15.7) while Memphis ranks 29th (9.5).
  • The Pelicans rank seventh in rebounds per game (47.1) while the Grizzlies rank 28th (39.6).
  • New Orleans ranks third in assists per game (26.8) while Memphis ranks 20th (23.0).
  • New Orleans ranks 11th in fast break points per game (14.3) while Memphis ranks 24th in fast break points allowed per game (14.8).
  • The Grizzlies rank fourth in steals allowed per game (7.1) while the Pelicans rank 25th (8.7).
  • The Grizzlies rank third in blocks per game (6.0) while the Pelicans rank 19th in blocks allowed per game (5.3).
  • Memphis ranks 14th in three pointers allowed per game (30.9) while New Orleans ranks 25th (33.2).
  • New Orleans ranks first in points in the paint per game (57.4) while Memphis ranks 22nd (46.5).
  • In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Memphis is 10-3 and New Orleans is 3-0.
  • The Grizzlies are 12-7 when they reach the century mark, while the Pelicans are 18-20.
  • Memphis is 8-12 ATS on the road, while New Orleans is 9-10 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone under in 13 of the Grizzlies’ 20 road games, while 9 of the Pelicans’ 19 home games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Memphis and New Orleans have both had 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Pelicans are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Grizzlies are 0-5.
  • The Pelicans’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 7.4, up from 1.6 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Grizzlies have scored an average of 97.2 points per game (4.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 108.6 points per game (6.0 above their season average).