The Indiana Pacers (26-12), the league’s top scoring defense, will square off against the Toronto Raptors (29-12) at Scotiabank Arena. The game starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, January 6, 2019, and will air on NBATV.
Indiana Pacers vs. Toronto Raptors ATS Odds
The Raptors hope to maintain momentum after beating the Milwaukee Bucks in their last matchup, 123-116, as 3.5-point underdogs. The Pacers, on the other hand, defeated the Chicago Bulls, 119-116, but were not able to cover as 7-point favorites. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Toronto game went 21 points over the projected point total of 218, while the Indiana game finished 34 points over the projected point total of 201.
Indiana dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a turnover percentage of 11.5 (better than their season average of 13.1) and a free throw rate of 0.129 (matching their season average). Chicago had marks of 14.9 and 0.110, respectively, for those same stats. Meanwhile, Toronto played a nearly perfect game. They had a turnover percentage of 10.3 (better than their season average of 11.8) and a free throw rate of 0.305 (above their season average of 0.192). Milwaukee recorded marks of 13.1 and 0.272, respectively, for those same stats. Kawhi Leonard had a solid outing for Toronto with 30 points, six rebounds and six assists. Victor Oladipo had a good outing for Indiana, putting up 36 points and seven rebounds.
In their first matchup this year, Leonard led the Raptors to a 99-96 victory. He notched a double-double with 28 points and 10 rebounds. The two teams combined to score 195 points, which was well under the projected point total of 211, and Toronto was unable to cover as a 5-point favorite. The Raptors’ turnover percentage was their largest advantage over the Pacers. Toronto had a rate of 8.1, while Indiana posted a mark of 18.7.
Of the Pacers’ 38 games, 23 have gone under the O/U total. Indiana comes into the game with records of 26-12 straight up (SU) and 20-17-1 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Indiana, games including the Raptors tend to go over the total (57.5 percent). Toronto is 29-12 SU, but they have difficulty covering the spread (17-22-1 ATS).
This showdown pits one of the league’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses. Toronto ranks third in effective field goal percentage (0.537) and Indiana is fifth in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.504).
Pacers at Raptors Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Pacers, ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Pacers rank 4 in points allowed in the paint per game (42.8421052631579) while the Raptors rank 11 (47.21951219512195).
- Toronto ranks ninth in three pointers attempted per game (33.0) while Indiana ranks 28th (25.1).
- The Pacers rank third in rebounds allowed per game (42.7) while the Raptors rank 15th (44.4).
- Indiana ranks ninth in assists per game (25.5) while Toronto ranks 21st in assists allowed per game (24.5).
- Indiana ranks 3 in points off turnovers per game (19.55263157894737) while Toronto ranks 11 (17.463414634146343).
- The Raptors average 17.9 fast break points per game, which ranks third in the league. The Pacers rank 18th in fast break points allowed per game (14.1).
- The Pacers rank 2 in steals per game (9.210526315789474) while the Raptors rank 13 (8).
- Toronto averages 5.6 blocks per game, which ranks eighth in the NBA. Indiana ranks 21st in blocks allowed per game (5.4).
- Toronto is 8-1 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Indiana is 13-3.
- The Raptors are 26-9 when they score above 100 points, while the Pacers are 23-5.
- Indiana is 10-8-1 ATS on the road, while Toronto is 8-11 ATS at home.
- In 19 road games, the Pacers have 10 overs and 9 unders.
- The Raptors have 12 overs and 7 unders in 19 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- The Pacers are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Raptors are 1-3-1.
- In their last five games, Indiana has 4 overs and 1 under, while Toronto has 3 overs and 2 unders.
- During their last five games, the Pacers have scored an average of 118.8 points per game (11.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 104.4 points per game (3.0 above their season average).
- The Raptors have been outscored by an average of 5.6 points in their last five games. On the season, Toronto has defeated opponents by an average of 5.1 points.
