It will be a matchup between two sensational offenses when the Sacramento Kings (19-19), 7.5-point underdogs, meet the Golden State Warriors (25-14) at Golden 1 Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 238.5 points and it can be seen on NBC Sports – Bay Area at 10 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 5, 2019.
Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings Betting Odds
Both teams lost in their last game. The Kings (3.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Denver Nuggets, 117-113, while the Warriors (9-point favorites) fell to the Houston Rockets, 135-134. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Sacramento game finished 3.5 points over the projected point total of 226.5, while the Golden State game went 43.5 points over the projected point total of 225.5.
Golden State had a better effective field goal percentage (0.588 vs. 0.561) while Sacramento had a better turnover percentage (7.6 vs. 12.0). Buddy Hield had a good outing for Sacramento, putting up 29 points. Meanwhile, Stephen Curry played a pivotal role for Golden State with 35 points and six assists.
In their two matchups this season, the Warriors have won both. In their most recent game, the two teams combined for 255 points, well over the projected point total of 236. Golden State won 130-125 but was unable to cover as a 7.5-point favorite. Golden State’s rebounding was their largest advantage. The Warriors had 15 offensive rebounds and 60 total rebounds, while the Kings had seven and 42, respectively. Curry was the game’s leading scorer with 35 points.
A little over half of the Warriors’ games have finished over the O/U total. Golden State has a solid 25-14 straight up (SU) record, but they have trouble covering the spread (16-23 against the spread (ATS)).
Vegas is known to place the total low when the Kings are involved, as 26 of their 39 games have gone over the O/U total. Further, Sacramento owns records of 19-19 SU and 21-17 ATS.
Sacramento could put on a ball-control clinic in this matchup. Sacramento ranks fourth in the league at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.6 percent), while Golden State forces the fourth-fewest turnovers (12.3 percent). Moreover, the top-ranked offense of the Warriors (offensive efficiency of 112.6) will clash against the 23rd-ranked defense of the Kings (defensive efficiency of 109.5).
Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings Free Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Warriors rank 18 in second chance points allowed per game (13.564102564102564) while the Kings rank 29 (14.894736842105264).
- Golden State ranks sixth in rebounds allowed per game (43.5) while Sacramento ranks last (48.9).
- The Warriors rank first in assists per game (28.1) while the Kings rank 24th in assists allowed per game (25.2).
- Golden State ranks first in blocks per game (6.2) while Sacramento ranks 23rd (4.7).
- Golden State averages 31.743589743589745 three pointers per game, which ranks 13 in the NBA. Sacramento ranks 27 in three pointers allowed per game (33.73684210526316).
- The Kings rank fifth in points in the paint per game (52.4) while the Warriors rank 28th (40.9).
- The Kings average 22.342105263157894 fast break points per game, which ranks 1 in the league. The Warriors rank 20 in fast break points allowed per game (14.461538461538462).
- Sacramento ranks second in points off turnovers per game (20.7) while Golden State ranks 25th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.8).
- Sacramento is 5-0 when they allow under 100 points, while Golden State is 4-0.
- When reaching 100 points, the Warriors are 25-9 and the Kings are 18-17.
- Golden State is 8-10 ATS on the road, while Sacramento is 11-8 ATS at home.
- Of the Warriors’ 18 road games, they have 11 overs and 7 unders.
- Of the Kings’ 19 home games, they have 10 overs and 9 unders.
Bettings Trends:
- The Warriors are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Kings are 0-5.
- In their last five games, Golden State has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Sacramento has 4 overs and 1 under.
- During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 118.2 points per game (1.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 117.2 points per game (5.3 above their season average).
- The Kings’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 4.8, up from 1.7 for the season.
