Week 16 Free Pick – Kansas City Chiefs vs. Seattle Seahawks

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The Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5) are heading west to face the Seattle Seahawks at CenturyLink Field. The vital Sunday Night showdown kicks off at 8:20 p.m. ET and NBC will televise the action.

Betting Preview: Kansas City Chiefs at Seattle Seahawks

Seattle is the underdog in this game and is currently being given 2.5 points. The Chiefs are also receiving -140 moneyline odds while the Seahawks are +120. There might be some good live betting opportunities for the matchup, and oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 53.5 points.

The game’s total has shifted lower after initially being set at 54. The opening line of 2.5 has stayed firm.

Both of these teams have rewarded gamblers this year as the Chiefs have gained 7.2 units and the Seahawks are ahead 1.8 units.

The Chiefs are 11-3 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Seahawks are 8-6 SU.

The Chiefs are on the rebound after a narrow 29-28 defeat to the Chargers in Week 15. Patrick Mahomes completed 24-of-34 passes for 243 yards and two touchdowns. Damien Williams (49 yards on 10 rushes, two TDs) led the ground attack in the loss while Travis Kelce (seven receptions, 61 yards) and Williams (six catches, 74 yards) manned the receiving duties.

Seattle just fell 26-23 to San Francisco a week ago. The defensive secondary allowed the 49ers to air it out for 275 yards. Matt Breida had a productive outing, recording 50 rushing yards on 17 attempts, along with 46 yards on five catches for San Francisco. For Seattle, Russell Wilson completed 23-of-31 passes for 237 yards and two touchdowns. Chris Carson (119 rushing yards on 22 attempts, one TD) led the ground game in the defeat as Mike Davis (eight receptions, 63 yards) led the pass-catching attack.

Kansas City has run the ball on 39.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Seattle has an overall rush percentage of 54.8 percent. The Chiefs have produced 114.4 rush yards/game and have 14 scores via handoffs this year. The Seahawks are logging 154.9 rushing yards per game and have 11 total rush TDs.

It appears that the Chiefs ought to have the more disruptive lines up front, since their offensive line has allowed just 37 sacks while the D-line logged 31 sacks. The Seahawks, on the other hand, have given up 43 sacks and their defense has sacked opposing QBs on just 39 occasions.

The Chiefs offensive scheme has averaged 324.5 yards through the air overall and has 45 passing scores so far. The Seahawks have put up 216.1 pass yards per contest and have 31 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Kansas City has allowed opponents to run for an average of 126.9 yards and pass for 304.6 yards per game. The Seattle defense has given up 262.9 yards per game to opposing passers and 112.3 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Chiefs have given up an ANY/A of 6.35 to opposing QBs, while the Seahawks are yielding an ANY/A of 6.62.

Offensively, Mahomes is already up to 4,166 passing yards this season, and has connected on 311-of-463 attempts with 43 passing scores and only 10 interceptions. He has a 9.16 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 6.71 over the past two outings.

For the home team, Russell Wilson has connected on 240-of-357 passes for 2,953 yards, 31 TDs and five INTs. Wilson’s ANY/A sits at 7.72 for the season and 4.86 across his past two games.

Kansas City Chiefs at Seattle Seahawks Betting Pick

SU Winner: Chiefs, ATS Winner: Seahawks, O/U: Over

Betting Notes

  • Both teams have lost four fumbles this year.
  • The Kansas City defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 46 times this year. Seattle has produced just 36 sacks.
  • Kansas City has rushed for 4.4 yards per attempt across its past three contests and 3.5 over its last two.
  • Seattle has averaged 5.2 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 5.0 over its last two.