The Memphis Grizzlies (16-15), 1-point favorites, will travel to the Golden 1 Center to meet the Sacramento Kings (16-15). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 212 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast at 10 p.m. ET on Friday, December 21, 2018.
Memphis Grizzlies at Sacramento Kings ATS Odds
Both teams failed to cover as underdogs in their last contest. The Grizzlies (5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Portland Trail Blazers, 99-92, while the Kings (4-point underdogs) fell to the Oklahoma City Thunder, 132-113. The Memphis game finished 10 points under the projected point total of 201, while the Sacramento game finished 13 points over the projected point total of 232.
Memphis forced Portland into a turnover percentage of 20.0 (above their season average of 12.5) while Sacramento had a free throw rate of 0.237 (above their season average of 0.175). Sacramento rallied around Buddy Hield, who put up 37 points and six rebounds. Mike Conley played a pivotal role for Memphis with 23 points and six assists.
The Grizzlies had the upper hand in the most recent game, a 112-104 victory, to even the season series at one. Jaren Jackson Jr. was the game’s leading scorer with 27 points. Memphis had a much better turnover percentage (12.0 vs. 18.8). Sacramento, on the other hand, did an excellent job of converting from the free throw line (18-24; 75.0 percent). The two teams combined for 216 points, which was just over the projected point total of 212, and Memphis covered as a 7-point favorite.
Grizzlies games have typically gone under the projected point total (58.1 percent). Memphis comes into the game with records of 16-15 straight up (SU) and 16-15 against the spread (ATS).
Unlike Memphis, Kings games have typically finished over the projected point total (67.7 percent). Moreover, Sacramento is 16-15 SU and 19-12 ATS.
Hield has taken his game to another level as of late for Sacramento, averaging 22 points over the last five games.
Opposite paces will be on display in this matchup. Sacramento prefers to play fast (third in possessions per game), while Memphis is more half-court-oriented (30th in possessions per game).
Memphis Grizzlies at Sacramento Kings Betting Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Grizzlies, ATS Winner – Grizzlies, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Grizzlies rank 17 in rebounds allowed per game (44.806451612903224) while the Kings rank 29 (48.483870967741936).
- Memphis ranks second in points allowed in the paint per game (42.1) while Sacramento ranks 29th (53.1).
- The Grizzlies rank third in blocks per game (6.2) while the Kings rank 21st (4.5).
- Memphis ranks seventh in assists allowed per game (22.6) while Sacramento ranks 25th (25.3).
- Memphis ranks 11 in three pointers allowed per game (30.032258064516128) while Sacramento ranks 27 (34.064516129032256).
- The Kings rank first in fast break points per game (22.3) while the Grizzlies rank 23rd in fast break points allowed per game (14.9).
- The Grizzlies rank 2 in steals allowed per game (6.838709677419355) while the Kings rank 19 (7.967741935483871).
- Memphis averages 18.419354838709676 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 7 in the league. Sacramento ranks 15 in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.967741935483872).
- Memphis ranks fifth in second chance points allowed per game (11.7) while Sacramento ranks 25th (14.8).
- In games where they allow under 100 points, Memphis is 8-3 and Sacramento is 4-0.
- When reaching the century mark, the Grizzlies are 11-4 and the Kings are 15-13.
- Memphis is 7-9 ATS on the road, while Sacramento is 9-5 ATS at home.
- The total has gone under in 10 of the Grizzlies’ 16 road games, while 7 of the Kings’ 14 home games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The Kings are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Grizzlies are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Sacramento has 5 overs, while Memphis has 3 unders, 1 over and 1 push.
- During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 120.8 points per game (5.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 127.4 points per game (10.5 above their season average).
- The Grizzlies’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.2, up from 0.4 for the season.
