Indiana Pacers vs. Philadelphia 76ers Free Prediction

Victor TrejosBasketball, NBA

The Indiana Pacers (18-10), the league’s top scoring defense, will meet the Philadelphia 76ers (19-10) at Wells Fargo Center. The game will air on ESPN at 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday, December 14, 2018.

Indiana Pacers vs. Philadelphia 76ers Betting Odds

The last time the Pacers played, they defeated the Milwaukee Bucks, 113-97, despite being 2-point underdogs. The 76ers, on the other hand, were topped by the Brooklyn Nets, 127-124, and were unable to cover as 6-point underdogs. The Indiana game finished 8.5 points under the projected point total of 218.5, while the Philadelphia game went 26.5 points over the projected point total of 224.5.

Indiana dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a solid offensive rebounding percentage of 29.2 (above their season average of 21.0) and a free throw rate of 0.165 (below their season average of 0.178). For those same stats, Milwaukee had marks of 18.0 and 0.109, respectively. Philadelphia, meanwhile, held Brooklyn to an offensive rebounding percentage of 20.6 (below their season average of 26.1). Joel Embiid played a key role for Philadelphia with 33 points, 17 rebounds and six assists. Indiana rallied around Thaddeus Young, who finished with 25 points, 11 rebounds and five steals.

In their first matchup this season, Ben Simmons led the 76ers to a 100-94 victory. He registered a double-double with 16 points and 10 rebounds. Philadelphia covered as a 3-point underdog and the two teams combined to put up 194 points, which was well under the projected point total of 217. Philadelphia did a fantastic job of converting from the free throw line (18-22; 81.8 percent). Indiana, on the other hand, had a much better turnover percentage (8.1 vs. 15.3).

Of the Pacers’ 28 games, 18 have finished under the projected point total. Indiana comes into the contest with records of 18-10 straight up (SU) and 14-13-1 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to Indiana, 76ers games have a tendency to go over the projected point total (58.6 percent). Philadelphia is 19-10 SU, but they are just 13-16 ATS.

Myles Turner and Bojan Bogdanovic have played well over the last five games for Indiana. Turner has averaged 15 points,10.8 rebounds,3.6 blocks per game, while Bogdanovic has recorded 21 points a game during that span.

It might be a sloppy game for the Philadelphia offense. Philadelphia ranks 25th in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.9 percent), while the disruptive defense of Indiana forces the fourth-most turnovers in the NBA (15.4 percent).

Pacers vs. 76ers ATS Pick

Pick: SU Winner – 76ers, ATS Winner – 76ers, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The 76ers rank 1 in assists allowed per game (21.551724137931036) while the Pacers rank 8 (23.142857142857142).
  • Indiana ranks third in points off turnovers per game (19.3) while Philadelphia ranks 24th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.2).
  • The 76ers rank 15th in three pointers attempted per game (31.6) while the Pacers rank 28th (25.1).
  • Philadelphia ranks 11th in blocks per game (5.6) while Indiana ranks 23rd in blocks allowed per game (5.8).
  • Philadelphia ranks 11 in fast break points per game (14.758620689655173) while Indiana ranks 23 in fast break points allowed per game (14.821428571428571).
  • The Pacers rank fourth in steals per game (9.1) while the 76ers rank 20th (7.2).
  • The Pacers rank 1 in second chance points allowed per game (10.964285714285714) while the 76ers rank 13 (12.793103448275863).
  • Indiana ranks 4 in rebounds allowed per game (42.17857142857143) while Philadelphia ranks 10 (43.96551724137931).
  • Indiana ranks second in points allowed in the paint per game (41.9) while Philadelphia ranks 18th (49.6).
  • Philadelphia is 6-0 when they allow below 100 points, while Indiana is 10-1.
  • When reaching the century mark, the 76ers are 19-8 and the Pacers are 15-5.
  • Indiana is 6-7-1 ATS on the road, while Philadelphia is 9-7 ATS at home.
  • In 14 road games, the Pacers have 7 overs and 7 unders.
  • The 76ers have 9 overs, 6 unders and 1 push in 16 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Pacers are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the 76ers are 3-2.
  • In their last five games, Indiana has 5 unders, while Philadelphia has 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push.
  • During their last five games, the Pacers have scored an average of 107.4 points per game (1.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 95.0 points per game (6.3 below their season average).
  • The 76ers\u2019 average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.8, up from 2.2 for the season.