The Minnesota Timberwolves (13-13), 10.5-point underdogs, will travel to ORACLE Arena to meet the Golden State Warriors (18-9). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 226 points and it can be seen on NBC Sports – Bay Area at 10:30 p.m. ET on Monday, December 10, 2018.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Odds
The last time the Warriors played, they beat the Milwaukee Bucks, 105-95, despite being 2-point underdogs. The Timberwolves, meanwhile, were topped by the Portland Trail Blazers, 113-105, and were unable to cover as 3.5-point underdogs. The Golden State game went 42 points under the projected point total of 242, while the Minnesota game finished 2.5 points under the projected point total of 220.5.
Golden State’s effective field goal percentage was their biggest strength over Milwaukee. The Warriors had a rate of 0.556 (below their season average of 0.563), while the Bucks posted a mark of 0.429 (below their season average of 0.567). Minnesota, on the other hand, forced Portland into a turnover percentage of 16.5 (above their season average of 12.6). Klay Thompson played a key role for Golden State with 20 points, six assists and five rebounds. Karl-Anthony Towns, meanwhile had a good game for Minnesota, finishing with 19 points and 10 rebounds.
In their first matchup this year, Kevin Durant led the Warriors to a 116-99 victory. He notched a double-double with 33 points and 13 rebounds. Golden State covered as an 11-point favorite and the two teams combined to score 215 points, which was well under the projected point total of 243.5. The Warriors’ 27.9 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over the Timberwolves, who had a rate of 14.0.
Of the Timberwolves’ 26 games, 17 have gone under the projected point total. Minnesota comes into the game with records of 13-13 straight up (SU) and 14-12 against the spread (ATS).
Unlike Minnesota, games involving the Warriors have a tendency to finish over the total (55.6 percent). Further, Golden State is 18-9 SU and 13-14 ATS.
The productive offense of Golden State will square off against the mid-tier defense of Minnesota. The Warriors rank first in offensive efficiency, while the Timberwolves are 15th in defensive efficiency. The Warriors figure to have the edge on that side of the ball.
Timberwolves at Warriors ATS Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Timberwolves, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Warriors rank 5 in fast break points per game (16.555555555555557) while the Timberwolves rank 12 (14.038461538461538).
- Minnesota ranks fourth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.2) while Golden State ranks 27th (18.6).
- The Timberwolves rank seventh in second chance points per game (14.9) while the Warriors rank 26th (11.5).
- Golden State ranks first in blocks allowed per game (3.6) while Minnesota ranks 16th (5.1).
- Golden State averages 45.370370370370374 rebounds per game, which ranks 16 in the league. Minnesota ranks 24 in rebounds allowed per game (46.46153846153846).
- The Warriors rank first in assists per game (28.0) while the Timberwolves rank 23rd in assists allowed per game (25.3).
- The Timberwolves rank 16 in points in the paint per game (46.76923076923077) while the Warriors rank 29 (40.44444444444444).
- Golden State averages 30.14814814814815 three pointers per game, which ranks 19 in the league. Minnesota ranks 24 in three pointers allowed per game (33.80769230769231).
- Minnesota ranks second in steals per game (9.5) while Golden State ranks 21st in steals allowed per game (8.2).
- When allowing below 100 points, Minnesota is 6-0 and Golden State is 3-0.
- When scoring more than 100 points, the Timberwolves are 13-9 and the Warriors are 18-5.
- Minnesota is 4-7 ATS on the road, while Golden State is 7-6 ATS at home.
- Of the Timberwolves’ 11 road games, they have 9 unders and 2 overs.
- The Warriors have 7 unders and 6 overs in 13 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Minnesota and Golden State have both had 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Warriors are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Timberwolves are 3-2.
- The Warriors\u2019 average margin of victory in their last five games has been 7.8, up from 5.8 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Timberwolves have scored an average of 113.2 points per game (3.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 103.0 points per game (6.6 below their season average).
