New Orleans Pelicans vs. Detroit Pistons Free Prediction

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The Detroit Pistons (13-10) will be 1-point underdogs at home in Little Caesars Arena when they square off against the New Orleans Pelicans (13-14). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 228 points and it will air on Fox Sports – New Orleans at 3:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, December 9, 2018.

New Orleans Pelicans at Detroit Pistons ATS Odds

Both teams lost as favorites in their last outing. The Pelicans (5-point favorites) were defeated by the Memphis Grizzlies, 107-103, while the Pistons (2.5-point favorites) fell to the Philadelphia 76ers, 117-111. The New Orleans game finished 4 points under the projected point total of 214, while the Detroit game finished 7 points over the projected point total of 221.

New Orleans had a better offensive rebounding percentage (23.8 vs. 23.8) while Detroit did a great job of getting and making free throws (30-37; 81.1 percent). Detroit received a boost from Blake Griffin, who recorded 31 points, 12 rebounds and six assists. Anthony Davis was a key piece for New Orleans with 25 points and 11 rebounds.

The Pelicans dominated this series last year, taking both games. In the last matchup, New Orleans won 118-103. New Orleans was lights out from beyond the arc (14-34; 41.2 percent). Detroit, meanwhile, did an excellent job of converting from the charity stripe (24-32; 75.0 percent). This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.

Games featuring the Pelicans have typically finished over the total (55.6 percent). New Orleans comes into the contest with records of 13-14 straight up (SU) and 12-15 against the spread (ATS).

Pistons games have a slight tendency to go over the projected point total (52.2 percent). Further, Detroit is 13-10 SU and 12-11 ATS.

The battle on the backboards could prove decisive, pitting strength against strength. The Pelicans rank fifth in offensive rebounding percentage (26.3 percent), while Detroit ranks second in defensive rebounding percentage (80.2 percent).

New Orleans Pelicans vs. Detroit Pistons ATS Pick

Free Pick: SU Winner – Pelicans, ATS Winner – Pelicans, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Pistons rank 21 in fast break points per game (11.217391304347826) while the Pelicans rank 23 in fast break points allowed per game (14.555555555555555).
  • New Orleans ranks second in assists per game (27.1) while Detroit ranks 26th (21.3).
  • The Pistons rank fifth in three pointers allowed per game (29.0) while the Pelicans rank 20th (32.6).
  • Detroit ranks 13th in steals allowed per game (7.6) while New Orleans ranks 25th (8.9).
  • Detroit ranks 1 in second chance points allowed per game (10.521739130434783) while New Orleans ranks 9 (12.444444444444445).
  • The Pelicans rank first in points in the paint per game (58.1) while the Pistons rank 22nd in points allowed in the paint per game (50.2).
  • The Pelicans rank 4 in rebounds per game (47.74074074074074) while the Pistons rank 15 in rebounds allowed per game (44.608695652173914).
  • New Orleans ranks 10th in blocks per game (5.7) while Detroit ranks 28th (3.6).
  • Detroit and New Orleans are both 2-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points.
  • When scoring over 100 points, the Pelicans are 13-13 and the Pistons are 13-6.
  • New Orleans is 5-8 ATS on the road, while Detroit is 6-8 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone over in 7 of the Pelicans’ 13 road games, while 7 of the Pistons’ 14 home games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, New Orleans and Detroit are both 2-3 ATS.
  • The Pelicans have 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games, while the Pistons have 4 unders and 1 over
  • During their last five games, the Pelicans have scored an average of 116.2 points per game (1.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 111.4 points per game (4.5 below their season average).
  • The Pistons\u2019 average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.6, up from 0.3 for the season.