Philadelphia 76ers at Detroit Pistons ATS Prediction

Victor TrejosBasketball, NBA

The Philadelphia 76ers (17-9), 2-point favorites, will travel to Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons (13-9). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 220 points and it will air on ESPN at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, December 7, 2018.

Philadelphia 76ers at Detroit Pistons Betting Odds

Both teams failed to cover as underdogs in their last matchup. The 76ers (6.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Toronto Raptors, 113-102, while the Pistons (7-point underdogs) fell to the Milwaukee Bucks, 115-92. The Philadelphia game finished 14.5 points under the projected point total of 229.5, while the Detroit game finished 18.5 points under the projected point total of 225.5.

Philadelphia held Toronto to an effective field goal percentage of 0.470 (below their season average of 0.558) while Detroit held Milwaukee to an offensive rebounding percentage of 9.3 (below their season average of 22.9). Detroit was led by Blake Griffin, who had 31 points and seven rebounds. Jimmy Butler, meanwhile had a good game for Philadelphia, finishing with 38 points and 10 rebounds.

The 76ers had the upper hand in the most recent game, a 109-99 win, to even the season series at one. Joel Embiid put up a double-double in the victory with 39 points and 17 rebounds. Philadelphia did a great job of getting to and converting from the charity stripe (44-51; 86.3 percent). Detroit, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (14.3 vs. 7.5). The two teams combined to score 208 points, which was under the projected point total of 221, and Philadelphia covered as an 8-point favorite.

Games including the 76ers tend to go over the O/U total (57.7 percent). Philadelphia is 17-9 straight up (SU), but they have a hard time covering the spread (11-15 against the spread (ATS)).

Games featuring the Pistons have no tendency in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Further, Detroit is 13-9 SU and 12-10 ATS.

The offense of Detroit (26th in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 104.0) will face off against the top-notch defense of Philadelphia (eighth in the NBA with a defensive efficiency of 105.0). The 76ers should have the edge on that side of the ball. Additionally, the 76ers, who rank second in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.254), will clash against the Pistons, who rank 28th in opponents’ FTA rate (0.237).

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Detroit Pistons Pick

Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – 76ers, ATS Winner – 76ers, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Pistons rank 24 in steals per game (7) while the 76ers rank 26 (6.8076923076923075).
  • Detroit ranks fifth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.2) while Philadelphia ranks 26th (18.5).
  • The Pistons rank second in second chance points allowed per game (10.5) while the 76ers rank 14th (13.0).
  • Philadelphia ranks fourth in rebounds per game (48.0) while Detroit ranks 15th in rebounds allowed per game (44.8).
  • Detroit ranks 5 in three pointers allowed per game (28.90909090909091) while Philadelphia ranks 12 (30.46153846153846).
  • The 76ers rank fifth in assists per game (26.5) while the Pistons rank 26th (21.3).
  • The Pistons rank 10 in points in the paint per game (49.54545454545455) while the 76ers rank 18 in points allowed in the paint per game (49.23076923076923).
  • Philadelphia ranks 12th in blocks per game (5.4) while Detroit ranks 27th (3.6).
  • In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Detroit is 2-0 and Philadelphia is 6-0.
  • In games where they reach the century mark, the 76ers are 17-7 and the Pistons are 13-5.
  • Detroit is 6-7 ATS at home, while Philadelphia is 3-9 ATS on the road.
  • The 76ers have 7 overs and 5 unders in 12 road games.
  • In 13 home games, the Pistons have 7 unders and 6 overs.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Philadelphia and Detroit have both had 4 unders and 1 over.
  • The 76ers are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Pistons are 2-3.
  • During their last five games, the 76ers have scored an average of 114.4 points per game (0.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 104.4 points per game (7.4 below their season average).
  • The Pistons\u2019 average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 3.0, up from 0.1 for the season.