Phoenix Suns at Portland Trail Blazers ATS Prediction

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The Phoenix Suns (4-20) and the Portland Trail Blazers (13-11) battle at Moda Center at the Rose Quarter. The Suns are 14-point underdogs and look to put an end to their six-game losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 215 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Arizona at 10 p.m. ET on Thursday, December 6, 2018.

Phoenix Suns vs. Portland Trail Blazers Betting Odds

Both teams did not cover as underdogs in their last matchup. The Suns (5.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Sacramento Kings, 122-105, while the Trail Blazers (2.5-point underdogs) fell to the Dallas Mavericks, 111-102. The Phoenix game finished 4.5 points over the projected point total of 222.5, while the Portland game finished 4.5 points under the projected point total of 217.5.

Phoenix had an offensive rebounding percentage of 28.3 (above their season average of 18.1) while Portland had a better effective field goal percentage (0.494 vs. 0.500). Portland rallied around Damian Lillard, who finished with 33 points, eight rebounds and eight assists. Meanwhile, De’Anthony Melton played a pivotal role for Phoenix with 21 points and five assists.

The Trail Blazers dominated this series last year, taking all four games. In the most recent game, Portland won 106-104. The Trail Blazers’ turnover percentage was their biggest strength over the Suns. Portland had a rate of 5.1, while Phoenix posted a mark of 11.9. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.

Vegas tends to place the total high when the Suns are involved, as 58.3 percent of their contests have ended under the O/U total. Phoenix holds records of 4-20 straight up (SU) and 8-16 against the spread (ATS).

Unlike Phoenix, Trail Blazers games have typically finished over the O/U total (58.3 percent). Moreover, Portland owns records of 13-11 SU and 11-13 ATS.

The productive offense of Portland will clash against the mid-tier defense of Phoenix. The Trail Blazers rank eighth in offensive efficiency, while the Suns are 28th in defensive efficiency. The Trail Blazers should have the edge on that side of the ball. Furthermore, the Suns rank 28th in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.175), while the Trail Blazers rank third in opponents’ FTA rate (0.176).

Phoenix Suns vs. Portland Trail Blazers ATS Pick

Free Prediction: SU Winner – Trail Blazers, ATS Winner – Suns, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Suns rank 18 in assists per game (23.5) while the Trail Blazers rank 28 (20.708333333333332).
  • Portland ranks second in rebounds per game (49.1) while Phoenix ranks 29th (39.9).
  • The Trail Blazers rank 14th in steals allowed per game (7.5) while the Suns rank 29th (9.5).
  • Portland ranks 15th in fast break points allowed per game (13.7) while Phoenix ranks last (17.7).
  • Phoenix ranks 4 in three pointers allowed per game (28.291666666666668) while Portland ranks 15 (30.958333333333332).
  • The Trail Blazers rank third in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.1) while the Suns rank 29th (20.6).
  • The Trail Blazers rank 11 in second chance points per game (14.083333333333334) while the Suns rank 25 (9.875).
  • Portland ranks 24 in blocks per game (4.541666666666667) while Phoenix ranks 26 (4.125).
  • Portland ranks 10th in points allowed in the paint per game (46.8) while Phoenix ranks last (53.3).
  • Phoenix is 1-1 when they allow below 100 points, while Portland is 4-0.
  • The Suns are 4-11 when they reach 100 points, while the Trail Blazers are 13-9.
  • Portland is 7-5 ATS at home, while Phoenix is 3-9 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 6 of the Suns’ 12 road games, while 6 of the Trail Blazers’ 12 home games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Phoenix and Portland are both 0-5 ATS.
  • The Suns have 4 unders and 1 over over their last five games, while the Trail Blazers have 3 overs and 2 unders
  • During their last five games, the Suns have scored an average of 97.8 points per game (5.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 113.0 points per game (1.0 below their season average).
  • The Trail Blazers have been outscored by an average of 4.8 points in their last five games. On the season, Portland has defeated opponents by an average of 0.8 points.