The Phoenix Suns (4-19) and the Sacramento Kings (11-11) square off at Talking Stick Resort Arena. The Suns are 6-point underdogs and look to snap their five-game losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 226 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Arizona at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, December 4, 2018.
Sacramento Kings at Phoenix Suns ATS Odds
The last time the Kings played, they won a close one over the Indiana Pacers, 111-110, despite being 1.5-point underdogs. The Suns, meanwhile, were thoroughly outplayed by the Los Angeles Lakers, 120-96, and were not able to cover as 12-point underdogs. The Sacramento game finished 4 points under the projected point total of 225, while the Phoenix game went 5 points under the projected point total of 221.
Sacramento dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a great offensive rebounding percentage of 28.0 (above their season average of 21.9) and a turnover percentage of 16.5 (worse than their season average of 12.2). Indiana had marks of 15.8 and 21.8, respectively, for those same stats. Phoenix, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (13.3 vs. 15.7). Trevor Ariza played a pivotal role for Phoenix with 13 points and nine rebounds. Sacramento, meanwhile, rallied around Willie Cauley-Stein, who recorded 17 points and 13 rebounds.
The Suns edged out the Kings in this series last year, securing victories in three out of four contests. In the most recent contest, Phoenix won 97-94. Phoenix had a better free throw rate (0.273 vs. 0.191). Sacramento, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (9.2 vs. 13.3). This is the first time these teams will meet this year.
Games featuring the Kings have a tendency to go over the O/U total (63.6 percent). Sacramento holds records of 11-11 straight up (SU) and 13-9 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Sacramento, games including the Suns tend to finish under the projected point total (60.9 percent). Additionally, Phoenix is 4-19 SU and 8-15 ATS.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has really been playing well as of late for Sacramento, averaging 18 points,3.6 assists over the last five games.
It could be a sloppy game for the Phoenix offense. Phoenix ranks 29th in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 15.7 percent), while the gambling defense of Sacramento forces the sixth-most turnovers in the league (15.1 percent).
Kings at Suns Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Kings, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Kings rank 19 in second chance points per game (12.727272727272727) while the Suns rank 28 (9.608695652173912).
- Sacramento ranks first in fast break points per game (21.8) while Phoenix ranks last in fast break points allowed per game (17.3).
- The Suns rank fifth in three pointers allowed per game (28.5) while the Kings rank 28th (35.1).
- Sacramento ranks ninth in assists per game (24.8) while Phoenix ranks 25th in assists allowed per game (25.3).
- Sacramento ranks 15 in rebounds per game (45.36363636363637) while Phoenix ranks 29 (39.78260869565217).
- The Kings rank second in points off turnovers per game (20.5) while the Suns rank 29th in points off turnovers allowed per game (20.1).
- The Kings rank 11 in steals per game (8.181818181818182) while the Suns rank 25 in steals allowed per game (9.304347826086957).
- Sacramento ranks 24 in blocks per game (4.363636363636363) while Phoenix ranks 25 (4.130434782608695).
- Sacramento ranks fourth in points in the paint per game (53.8) while Phoenix ranks 29th in points allowed in the paint per game (53.3).
- When allowing less than 100 points, Phoenix is 1-1 and Sacramento is 3-0.
- In games where they reach 100 points, the Suns are 4-10 and the Kings are 10-10.
- Sacramento is 6-5 ATS on the road, while Phoenix is 5-6 ATS at home.
- The Kings have 10 overs and 1 under in 11 road games.
- Of the Suns’ 11 home games, they have 8 unders and 3 overs.
Bettings Trends:
- The Kings are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Suns are 0-5.
- In their last five games, Sacramento has 4 overs and 1 under, while Phoenix has 4 unders and 1 over.
- The Kings\u2019 average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 4.8, up from 2.8 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Suns have scored an average of 98.2 points per game (4.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 112.2 points per game (1.5 below their season average).
