A seven-game home winning streak hangs in the balance for the Dallas Mavericks (11-10), who will be 1.5-point favorites when they meet the Portland Trail Blazers (13-10) at American Airlines Center. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 220 points and it starts at 8:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, December 4, 2018.
Portland Trail Blazers at Dallas Mavericks ATS Odds
The Mavericks defeated the Los Angeles Clippers in their last matchup, 114-110, despite being 2.5-point underdogs. The Trail Blazers, meanwhile, were beat by the San Antonio Spurs, 131-118, and failed to cover as 1-point underdogs. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Dallas game went 0.5 points over the projected point total of 223.5, while the Portland game finished 31 points over the projected point total of 218.
The Mavericks had a great offensive rebounding percentage of 32.1 (above their season average of 23.1), while the Clippers had a free throw rate of 0.179 (below their season average of 0.270). Portland, meanwhile, held San Antonio to an offensive rebounding percentage of 16.1 (below their season average of 23.4). Dallas’ DeAndre Jordan had a good game, contributing 16 points and 23 rebounds. Meanwhile, Portland rallied around Damian Lillard, who had 37 points and 10 assists.
The Trail Blazers captured this series last year, winning two out of three contests. In the most recent game, Dallas won 115-109. The Mavericks’ 6.5 turnover percentage was their largest advantage over the Trail Blazers, who had a mark of 11.8. This is the first time these teams will go head-to-head this year.
Of the Trail Blazers’ 23 games, 14 have gone over the O/U total. Portland holds records of 13-10 straight up (SU) and 11-12 against the spread (ATS).
Mavericks games also tend to go over the total (57.1 percent). Moreover, Dallas is 11-10 SU and 14-7 ATS.
Harrison Barnes has taken his game to another level as of late for Dallas, averaging 20 points over the last five games.
Dallas does a solid job at getting to the charity stripe. They rank third in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.229), but Portland is among the best in the NBA at keeping opponents off the line (ranking third by allowing a FTA rate of 0.172).
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Dallas Mavericks Pick
NBA Tip: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Mavericks rank 5 in points allowed in the paint per game (44.95238095238095) while the Trail Blazers rank 10 (46.78260869565217).
- Dallas ranks fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.6) while Portland ranks 24th (5.9).
- The Mavericks rank 14th in steals per game (7.7) while the Trail Blazers rank 27th (6.2).
- Dallas ranks 13th in fast break points per game (14.3) while Portland ranks 26th (10.1).
- Dallas ranks 20 in assists per game (22.666666666666668) while Portland ranks 28 (20.73913043478261).
- The Mavericks rank 13th in points off turnovers per game (17.5) while the Trail Blazers rank last (13.3).
- The Mavericks average 14.80952380952381 second chance points per game, which ranks 8 in the NBA. The Trail Blazers rank 18 in second chance points allowed per game (13.782608695652174).
- Dallas averages 33.23809523809524 three pointers per game, which ranks 10 in the NBA. Portland ranks 14 in three pointers allowed per game (31).
- Portland ranks second in rebounds per game (49.2) while Dallas ranks 16th (45.2).
- In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Portland is 4-0 and Dallas is 3-1.
- In games where they score over 100 points, the Trail Blazers are 13-8 and the Mavericks are 11-9.
- Portland is 4-7 ATS on the road, while Dallas is 9-2 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 7 of the Mavericks’ 11 home games, while 8 of the Trail Blazers’ 11 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Portland and Dallas have both had 4 overs and 1 under.
- The Mavericks are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Trail Blazers are 0-5.
- During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 115.4 points per game (4.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 109.8 points per game (0.9 above their season average).
- The Trail Blazers have been outscored by an average of 8.6 points in their last five games. On the season, Portland has defeated opponents by an average of 1.3 points.
