Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Lakers ATS Prediction

Daniel GimenezBasketball, NBA

The Dallas Mavericks (10-9), 3.5-point underdogs, will travel to the Staples Center to take on the Los Angeles Lakers (12-9). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 221 points and it begins at 10:30 p.m. ET on Friday, November 30, 2018.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Los Angeles Lakers ATS Odds

Both teams covered in their last matchup. The Lakers (3-point favorites) defeated the Indiana Pacers 104-96, while the Mavericks (5.5-point underdog) beat the Houston Rockets 128-108. The Los Angeles game went 19 points under the projected point total of 219, while the Dallas game went 18.5 points over the projected point total of 217.5.

Dallas dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.224 (matching their season average) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.641 (above their season average of 0.532). Houston was 0.172 and 0.534, respectively, for those same stats. The Lakers, on the other hand, held the Pacers to an effective field goal percentage of 0.430 (below their season average of 0.536) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 24.4 (above their season average of 22.3). Los Angeles rallied around LeBron James, who put up 38 points, nine rebounds and seven assists. J.J. Barea played a pivotal role for Dallas with 13 points and 12 assists.

In their first matchup this season, JaVale McGee led the Lakers to a 114-113 victory. He notched a double-double with 16 points and 15 rebounds. The two teams combined for 227 points, which was under the projected point total of 234, and Los Angeles was unable to cover as an 8-point favorite. Los Angeles did an excellent job of converting from the free throw line (18-24; 75.0 percent). Dallas, on the other hand, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (24.4 vs. 21.1).

Mavericks games have a tendency to finish over the total (57.9 percent). Dallas heads into the game with records of 10-9 straight up (SU) and 13-6 against the spread (ATS).

Unlike Dallas, Lakers games tend to finish under the O/U total (60.0 percent). Additionally, Los Angeles is 12-9 SU and 7-13 ATS.

It will be a matchup of contrasting paces as the fast-paced Lakers will look to push the more grind-it-out Mavericks. The Lakers rank third in possessions per game while the Mavericks are 17th.

Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Lakers ATS Pick

NBA Pick: SU Winner – Lakers, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Lakers average 23.857142857142858 assists per game, which ranks 13 in the NBA. The Mavericks rank 16 in assists allowed per game (24.105263157894736).
  • Dallas ranks third in rebounds allowed per game (41.6) while Los Angeles ranks 25th (47.0).
  • The Lakers rank first in blocks per game (6.7) while the Mavericks rank 21st (4.8).
  • Los Angeles ranks ninth in steals per game (8.4) while Dallas ranks 25th in steals allowed per game (9.4).
  • Dallas averages 17.42105263157895 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 12 in the league. Los Angeles ranks 23 in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.19047619047619).
  • The Mavericks rank fourth in points allowed in the paint per game (43.9) while the Lakers rank 25th (51.6).
  • The Mavericks average 14.947368421052632 second chance points per game, which ranks 7 in the NBA. The Lakers rank 19 in second chance points allowed per game (13.80952380952381).
  • Dallas ranks 9 in three pointers attempted per game (33.473684210526315) while Los Angeles ranks 11 in three pointers allowed per game (30.476190476190474).
  • Los Angeles ranks second in fast break points per game (20.0) while Dallas ranks 23rd in fast break points allowed per game (14.7).
  • Los Angeles is 4-0 when they allow below 100 points, while Dallas is 3-1.
  • The Lakers are 11-8 when they reach the century mark, while the Mavericks are 10-8.
  • Dallas is 5-4 ATS on the road, while Los Angeles is 3-7 ATS at home.
  • The Mavericks have 5 overs and 4 unders in 9 road games.
  • Of the Lakers’ 10 home games, they have 6 unders and 4 overs.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Mavericks are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Lakers are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Dallas has 4 overs and 1 under, while Los Angeles has 5 unders.
  • During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 112.0 points per game (0.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 106.4 points per game (2.1 below their season average).
  • The Lakers have been outscored by an average of 3.4 points in their last five games. For the season, Los Angeles has defeated opponents by an average of 0.2 points.