Utah Jazz vs. Charlotte Hornets Free Prediction

Daniel GimenezBasketball, NBA

The Charlotte Hornets (11-10) will be 2.5-point favorites at home in the Spectrum Center when they go head-to-head with the Utah Jazz (10-12). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 217 points and it will air on Fox Sports Carolina at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, November 30, 2018.

Utah Jazz at Charlotte Hornets ATS Odds

Both teams covered as favorites in their last game. The Hornets (12-point favorites) defeated the Atlanta Hawks 108-94, while the Jazz (3.5-point favorites) beat the Brooklyn Nets 101-91. The Charlotte game finished 28 points under the projected point total of 230, while the Utah game went 23 points under the projected point total of 215.

Utah’s effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Brooklyn. The Jazz had a rate of 0.530 (above their season average of 0.514), while the Nets posted a mark of 0.413 (below their season average of 0.518). Meanwhile, Charlotte played a nearly perfect game. They had a phenomenal free throw rate of 0.337 (above their season average of 0.200) and a turnover percentage of 12.4 (worse than their season average of 10.7). Atlanta had marks of 0.204 and 15.6, respectively, for those same stats. Kemba Walker fueled Charlotte with 19 points. Meanwhile, Utah received a boost from Rudy Gobert, who put up 23 points and 16 rebounds.

This was a highly contested series last year, as the teams split their two games last season. In the most recent game, the Jazz won 106-94. Utah had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (20.0 vs. 10.6). Charlotte, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (7.0 vs. 11.6). This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.

Of the Jazz’s 22 games, 14 have gone over the total. Utah comes into the game with records of 10-12 straight up (SU) and 10-12 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to Utah, games including the Hornets have gone under the O/U total 52.4 percent of the time. Additionally, Charlotte is 11-10 SU and 14-7 ATS.

Jeremy Lamb has been on fire recently for Charlotte, averaging 18 points,6.8 rebounds,1.2 steals over the last five games.

Second-chance opportunities might be hard to come by for Charlotte in this battle. The Hornets currently rank 23rd in offensive rebounding percentage (21.3 percent), while Utah ranks third in defensive rebounding percentage (79.2 percent).

Jazz vs. Hornets ATS Pick

Free Prediction: SU Winner – Jazz, ATS Winner – Jazz, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • Utah ranks second in three pointers allowed per game (27.2) while Charlotte ranks 27th (34.3).
  • The Hornets rank fourth in steals allowed per game (7.1) while the Jazz rank 24th (9.1).
  • Utah ranks fifth in second chance points allowed per game (11.8) while Charlotte ranks 20th (13.9).
  • Utah ranks 11 in points in the paint per game (48.90909090909091) while Charlotte ranks 18 in points allowed in the paint per game (48.857142857142854).
  • The Jazz rank third in blocks allowed per game (4.4) while the Hornets rank 26th (6.7).
  • The Jazz rank 5 in fast break points allowed per game (11.5) while the Hornets rank 15 (13.761904761904763).
  • Charlotte ranks third in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.9) while Utah ranks 26th (18.9).
  • Charlotte is 3-0 when they allow below 100 points, while Utah is 4-2.
  • The Jazz are 8-6 when they reach 100 points, while the Hornets are 11-9.
  • Utah is 7-7 ATS on the road, while Charlotte is 8-3 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone over in 7 of the Jazz’s 14 road games, while 6 of the Hornets’ 11 home games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Hornets are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Jazz are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Charlotte has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Utah has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Hornets\u2019 average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.8, up from 4.9 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Jazz have scored an average of 103.0 points per game (2.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 106.6 points per game (1.5 below their season average).