The Miami Heat (7-12) and the Atlanta Hawks (4-16) look to put an end to their respective losing streaks when they square off at AmericanAirlines Arena. The Heat are on a five-game home losing streak, while the Hawks have lost seven consecutive games on the road. The game starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, November 27, 2018, and will air on Fox Sports – Southeast.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Miami Heat Betting Odds
Both teams covered in their last game. The Hawks (6.5-point underdogs) beat the Charlotte Hornets, 124-123, while the Heat (12-point underdogs) fell to the Toronto Raptors, 125-115. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Atlanta game finished 18 points over the projected point total of 229, while the Miami game went 25 points over the projected point total of 215.
Atlanta’s effective field goal percentage was their biggest strength over Charlotte. The Hawks had a rate of 0.617 (above their season average of 0.501), while the Hornets posted a mark of 0.538. Miami, meanwhile, had a turnover percentage of 6.0 (better than their season average of 13.4). Bam Adebayo put together a good game for Miami with 16 points and 21 rebounds. Atlanta rallied around John Collins, who contributed 23 points and 11 rebounds.
In their first matchup this season, Trae Young led the Hawks to a 123-118 win. He registered a double-double with 24 points and 15 assists. Atlanta covered as a 5.5-point underdog and the two teams combined for 241 points, which was well over the projected point total of 225.5. Atlanta had a better turnover percentage (14.0 vs. 15.0). Miami, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (31.0 vs. 22.2).
Of the Hawks’ 20 games, 11 have gone over the total. Atlanta comes into the game with records of 4-16 straight up (SU) and 8-12 against the spread (ATS).
Heat games also tend to finish over the total (63.2 percent). Additionally, Miami owns records of 7-12 SU and 8-11 ATS.
This has potential to be a sloppy game for the Miami offense. Miami ranks 24th in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.6 percent), while the disruptive defense of Atlanta forces the fifth-most turnovers in the NBA (15.1 percent).
Hawks at Heat Betting Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Heat, ATS Winner – Heat, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Heat rank 13 in steals allowed per game (7.473684210526316) while the Hawks rank 26 (9.55).
- Miami ranks third in assists allowed per game (21.5) while Atlanta ranks last (27.6).
- The Hawks rank fourth in fast break points per game (17.4) while the Heat rank 24th (10.9).
- Atlanta ranks sixth in blocks per game (6.0) while Miami ranks 25th in blocks allowed per game (5.9).
- Atlanta ranks 10 in points off turnovers per game (17.95) while Miami ranks 27 in points off turnovers allowed per game (19.05263157894737).
- The Heat rank seventh in second chance points per game (14.7) while the Hawks rank 29th in second chance points allowed per game (16.9).
- The Heat rank 9 in three pointers allowed per game (29.789473684210527) while the Hawks rank 26 (34.35).
- Miami ranks fifth in rebounds per game (47.8) while Atlanta ranks 27th in rebounds allowed per game (48.6).
- When holding opponents under 100 points, Atlanta is 0-2 and Miami is 3-1.
- When reaching the century mark, the Heat are 6-9 and the Hawks are 4-11.
- Miami is 3-7 ATS at home, while Atlanta is 5-5 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone over in 5 of the Hawks’ 10 road games, while 6 of the Heat’s 10 home games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Atlanta and Miami are both 2-3 ATS.
- The Hawks have 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games, while the Heat have 4 unders and 1 over,
- The Hawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 9.8, down from 10.9 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Heat have scored an average of 99.6 points per game (8.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 107.4 points per game (2.9 below their season average).
