The league’s top scoring team will be a 9.5-point favorite at home in Fiserv Forum, when the Milwaukee Bucks (13-5) battle with the San Antonio Spurs (9-9). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 221 points and it will air on NBATV at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 24, 2018.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Milwaukee Bucks Betting Odds
The Spurs beat the Indiana Pacers in their last contest, 111-100, despite being 2.5-point underdogs. The Bucks, on the other hand, were defeated by the Phoenix Suns, 116-114, and were unable to cover as 7.5-point underdogs. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The San Antonio game went 11.5 points over the projected point total of 199.5, while the Milwaukee game went 3 points over the projected point total of 227.
The Spurs made 17 of their 24 free throws (70.8 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.566 (above their season average of 0.496). Milwaukee, meanwhile, had a free throw rate of 0.230 (above their season average of 0.179). Giannis Antetokounmpo put together a solid outing for Milwaukee with 35 points and 10 rebounds. Meanwhile, San Antonio was lifted by LaMarcus Aldridge, who finished with 33 points and 14 rebounds.
The Bucks dominated this series last year, winning both games. In the most recent matchup, Milwaukee won 106-103. Milwaukee had a better effective field goal percentage (0.541 vs. 0.467). San Antonio, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (41.7 vs. 21.4). This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
Games involving the Spurs have a slight tendency to go over the total (52.9 percent). San Antonio heads into the contest with records of 9-9 straight up (SU) and 8-9 against the spread (ATS).
Of the Bucks’ 17 games that accepted bets, 13 have finished over the O/U total. Further, Milwaukee owns records of 13-5 SU and 11-6 ATS.
Eric Bledsoe has really been playing well recently for Milwaukee, averaging 18 points,5.8 rebounds,5.2 assists,2.2 steals over the last five games.
It will be a showdown of contrasting tempos as the fast-paced Bucks (ranked fourth in the NBA in possessions per game) will look to push the slower-paced Spurs (25th in possessions per game). The Spurs should have an advantage in terms of ball protection. They rank 2nd at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.0 percent). Conversely, the Bucks force the fourth-fewest turnovers in the NBA (opponents’ turnover percentage of 12.3 percent).
Spurs vs. Bucks ATS Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Bucks rank 2 in second chance points allowed per game (10.5) while the Spurs rank 9 (12.555555555555555).
- Milwaukee ranks second in three pointers attempted per game (40.5) while San Antonio ranks 28th (24.4).
- The Bucks rank fifth in blocks per game (6.2) while the Spurs rank 24th (4.1).
- Milwaukee ranks second in assists per game (27.2) while San Antonio ranks 20th (23.1).
- Milwaukee ranks 1 in rebounds per game (51.27777777777778) while San Antonio ranks 17 in rebounds allowed per game (45.333333333333336).
- The Bucks rank second in points in the paint per game (56.7) while the Spurs rank 27th (41.0).
- The Bucks rank 9 in points off turnovers per game (18.166666666666668) while the Spurs rank 25 (14.5).
- Milwaukee ranks 22 in steals per game (6.888888888888889) while San Antonio ranks 28 (6.055555555555555).
- Milwaukee ranks first in fast break points allowed per game (9.5) while San Antonio ranks 21st (14.6).
- In games where they allow under 100 points, San Antonio is 4-1 and Milwaukee is 3-0.
- The Bucks are 13-5 when they score above 100 points, while the Spurs are 8-5.
- San Antonio is 3-5 ATS on the road, while Milwaukee is 8-2 ATS at home.
- The Spurs have 4 overs and 4 unders in 8 road games.
- The Bucks have 8 overs and 2 unders in 10 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- The Bucks are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Spurs are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Milwaukee has 4 overs and 1 under, while San Antonio has 3 overs and 2 unders.
- During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 119.4 points per game (1.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 106.8 points per game (2.1 below their season average).
- The Spurs have outscored opponents by an average of 0.6 points in their last five games. For the season, San Antonio has lost by an average of 0.2 points.
