The Wake Forest Demon Deacons (+13) aren’t traveling far to face the Duke Blue Devils at Brooks Field at Wallace Wade Stadium. CHSS owns the TV rights and kickoff will take place at 12:30 p.m. ET.
Betting Preview: Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Duke Blue Devils
In this Saturday Atlantic Coast game, Duke is projected as the heavy favorite and the team’s currently giving up 13 points. The Demon Deacons are also receiving +360 moneyline odds while the Blue Devils are -525. If one school gets out in front early it will create a nice live betting opportunity. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 60.5 points.
Both of these teams have been profitable this year as the Demon Deacons have gained 5.7 units and the Blue Devils are up 1.1 units.
The Demon Deacons have gone 5-6 straight up (SU), including 2-5 SU against conference opponents. The Blue Devils are 7-4 SU overall and 3-4 SU in conference play.
When these two teams faced one another a year ago, Duke emerged victorious by a score of 31-23.
The Demon Deacons are hoping to bounce back after a 34-13 defeat to Pittsburgh last week. The passing game the big culprit Jamie Newman completed just 15-of-30 passes for 206 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Cade Carney (62 yards on 16 rushes) led the ground attack while Greg Dortch (four receptions, 33 yards) and Alex Bachman (four catches, 60 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.
Duke just fell 35-6 to Clemson. The defensive unit allowed the Tigers to run for 208 yards on 36 rush attempts, including three rush TDs. Travis Etienne had a productive outing in the win, recording 81 rushing yards and two touchdowns on nine attempts for Clemson. For Duke, Daniel Jones completed 24-of-43 passes for 158 yards. Jones (7 yards on 12 rush attempts) and Deon Jackson (51 yards on 11 carries) spearheaded the running game while T.J. Rahming (nine receptions, 38 yards) and Helm (three catches, 56 yards) led all Duke pass-catchers in the loss.
Wake Forest’s run the ball on 57.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Duke has an overall rush percentage of 50.7 percent. The Demon Deacons have rushed for 203.4 yards/game (including 187.6 per game against Atlantic Coast opponents) and have 15 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Blue Devils are averaging 167.8 rushing yards per game (138.3 in conference) and have 16 total rush TDs.
The Deacs offense has tallied 233.1 yards per contest in the air overall (223.1 per game versus conference opposition) and has 20 passing TDs so far. The Blue Devils have put up 237.6 pass yards per contest (255 against ACC foes) and have 25 total pass scores.
Wake Forest has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 199.1 yards and throw for 285.7 yards per game. The Duke D has given up 198.9 yards per game to opposing passers and 211.6 yards per game to opposing runners. The Blue Devils are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.92 to opposing QBs, while the Demon Deacons have allowed a 7.50 ANY/A.
Passing-wise, Newman has amassed 281 yards on the year. He’s completed 49 percent of his 45 attempts with one scores through the air and three interceptions. Newman has a 3.21 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 6.86 over the past two games.
Sage Surratt (436 receiving yards, two receiving touchdowns on the year), Cade Carney (663 rush yards, six rush TDs) and Alex Bachman (295 receiving yards, four TDs) have each played big roles lately.
Daniel Jones has completed 159-of-261 passes for 1,745 yards, 13 TDs and five INTs for Duke. His ANY/A stands at 5.88 for the year and 4.76 over his last two games.
We also expect the Duke offense to spread its attack this Saturday. Daniel Jones (148 rushing yards, one rush TD, zero receiving yards on the year), Deon Jackson (698 rush yards, six rush TDs, 187 receiving yards, one receiving TD) and T.J. Rahming (458 receiving yards, six receiving TDs) have combined to account for 494 total yards and two touchdowns the last two games.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Duke Blue Devils NCAA Tip
SU Winner: Duke, ATS Winner: Duke, O/U: Over
Team Betting Trends
- Duke has lost seven fumbles this season while Wake Forest has lost six.
- The Wake Forest D has sacked opposing QBs 20 times this season. Duke has recorded 19 sacks.
- Wake Forest, as a team, has produced 3.4 yards per carry across its last three contests and 3.3 over its last two.
- Duke has averaged 5.2 yards per carry over its last three games and 5.3 over its past two.
- In its last three matchups, Duke is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Wake Forest’s last game was set at 62.5. The under cashed in the team’s 34-13 defeat to Pittsburgh.
- In its last three matches, Wake Forest is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
- The O/U for Duke’s previous match was set at 60.5. The under cashed in the 35-6 loss to Clemson.
