Atlanta Hawks vs. Denver Nuggets ATS Prediction

The Atlanta Hawks (3-11) and the Denver Nuggets (9-5) clash at Pepsi Center. The Hawks are 12.5-point underdogs and will attempt to snap their five-game losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 223 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast at 9 p.m. ET on Thursday, November 15, 2018.

Atlanta Hawks vs. Denver Nuggets ATS Odds

Both teams were beaten in their last outing. The Nuggets (4.5-point favorites) were defeated by the Houston Rockets, 109-99, while the Hawks (11.5-point underdogs) fell to the Golden State Warriors, 110-103. The Denver game finished 9.5 points under the projected point total of 217.5, while the Atlanta game went 16 points under the projected point total of 229.

Atlanta held Golden State to an effective field goal percentage of 0.495 (below their season average of 0.586) while Denver had a better offensive rebounding percentage (21.2 vs. 20.0). Denver’s Nikola Jokic had a good game, contributing 14 points, 12 rebounds and seven assists. Meanwhile, Atlanta was lifted by Taurean Prince, who finished with 22 points.

This series was highly contested last year. Each won one of the two games played against each other last season. The Hawks won the last matchup 110-97. One of Atlanta’s biggest advantages was their ability to convert at the free throw line. They were 18-18 (100.0 percent), while the Nuggets were just 12-20 (60.0 percent). This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.

Hawks games have no tendency in regards to the projected point total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Atlanta heads into the contest with records of 3-11 straight up (SU) and 6-8 against the spread (ATS).

Games featuring the Nuggets have typically finished under the O/U total (64.3 percent). Moreover, Denver owns records of 9-5 SU and 7-7 ATS.

Look for Denver to dominate the offensive glass in this contest. The Nuggets are among the NBA’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking second in offensive rebounding percentage at 27.8 percent. Meanwhile, Atlanta ranks 22nd in the NBA at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 75.2 percent. It will also be a tale of two styles as the fast-breaking Hawks rank second in possessions per game, while the slower-paced Nuggets rank 26th.

Atlanta Hawks vs. Denver Nuggets Free Pick

NBA Tip: SU Winner – Nuggets, ATS Winner – Nuggets, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

The Hawks average 5.6 blocks per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA. The Nuggets rank 24th in blocks allowed per game (6.3).

Denver ranks first in rebounds allowed per game (40.1) while Atlanta ranks 25th (47.9).

The Nuggets rank eighth in assists per game (24.7) while the Hawks rank 28th in assists allowed per game (26.8).

Denver ranks ninth in fast break points allowed per game (12.1) while Atlanta ranks 28th (16.5).

Atlanta ranks fourth in three pointers attempted per game (35.1) while Denver ranks 22nd (28.5).

The Nuggets average 15.6 second chance points per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. The Hawks rank 26th in second chance points allowed per game (17.0).

The Nuggets rank seventh in steals per game (8.6) while the Hawks rank 25th in steals allowed per game (9.6).

Atlanta averages 48.6 points in the paint per game, which ranks 11th in the league. Denver ranks 13th in points allowed in the paint per game (47.9).

Denver ranks eighth in points off turnovers per game (18.2) while Atlanta ranks 29th in points off turnovers allowed per game (24.1).

Denver is 5-1 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Atlanta is 0-1.

The Hawks are 3-9 when they reach the century mark, while the Nuggets are 9-3.

Atlanta is 4-4 ATS on the road, while Denver is 5-4 ATS at home.

The total has gone over in 4 of the Hawks’ 8 road games, while 5 of the Nuggets’ 9 home games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

The Hawks are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Nuggets are 1-4.

In their last five games, Atlanta has 4 unders and 1 over, while Denver has 3 overs and 2 unders.

The Hawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 7.8, down from 8.9 for the season.

During their last five games, the Nuggets have scored an average of 105.0 points per game (4.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 107.6 points per game (3.7 above their season average).