The Memphis Grizzlies (7-5), 9.5-point underdogs, will try to slow down the Milwaukee Bucks (10-3) at Fiserv Forum. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 216 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 14, 2018.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Milwaukee Bucks ATS Odds
In the Bucks’ last matchup, they defeated the Denver Nuggets, 121-114, despite being 3.5-point underdogs. The Grizzlies, on the other hand, were defeated by the Utah Jazz, 96-88, and were unable to cover as 4-point underdogs. The Milwaukee game finished 10.5 points over the projected point total of 224.5, while the Memphis game finished 18 points under the projected point total of 202.
Milwaukee’s 0.673 effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Denver, who had a mark of 0.562. The Bucks’ mark was above their season average of 0.558. Memphis, on the other hand, held Utah to an effective field goal percentage of 0.445 (below their season average of 0.539). Milwaukee was lifted by Giannis Antetokounmpo, who put up 22 points, nine rebounds and eight assists. Jaren Jackson Jr. fueled Memphis with 10 points, 11 rebounds and five blocks.
The Bucks dominated this series last year, winning both games. In the last matchup, Milwaukee won 121-103. Milwaukee’s free throw rate was their largest strength over Memphis. The Bucks had a rate of 0.185, while the Grizzlies posted a mark of 0.112. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
Vegas is known to set the total high when the Grizzlies are involved, as eight of their 12 games have finished under the total. Memphis comes into the contest with records of 7-5 straight up (SU) and 7-5 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Memphis, Bucks games have a tendency to finish over the total (76.9 percent). Additionally, Milwaukee owns records of 10-3 SU and 8-5 ATS.
The game should be a battle of strength against strength as the high-powered offense of Milwaukee takes on the stingy defense of Memphis. The Bucks rank third in offensive efficiency, while the Grizzlies are fourth in defensive efficiency. Also, second chance points figure to be few and far between for the Grizzlies. They rank 29th in the NBA in offensive rebounding percentage at 18.6 percent, while the Bucks are third-best on the defensive glass (defensive rebounding percentage of 79.9 percent).
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Milwaukee Bucks Pick
NBA Tip: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Bucks rank 15th in second chance points per game (13.2) while the Grizzlies rank 26th (9.8).
- Milwaukee ranks second in rebounds per game (51.6) while Memphis ranks 29th (38.3).
- The Grizzlies rank second in steals per game (9.8) while the Bucks rank 20th (6.8).
- Milwaukee ranks first in fast break points allowed per game (10.2) while Memphis ranks 19th (15.2).
- Milwaukee ranks third in points in the paint per game (54.8) while Memphis ranks 19th (45.0).
- The Bucks rank second in three pointers attempted per game (40.5) while the Grizzlies rank 24th (27.1).
- The Bucks rank second in assists per game (27.3) while the Grizzlies rank 20th (22.4).
- Memphis ranks second in points off turnovers per game (21.8) while Milwaukee ranks 11th (17.5).
- Milwaukee ranks third in blocks per game (6.4) while Memphis ranks 23rd (4.3).
- Milwaukee is 2-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Memphis is 4-2.
- The Bucks are 10-3 when they score more than 100 points, while the Grizzlies are 5-2.
- Memphis is 2-4 ATS on the road, while Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS at home.
- In 6 road games, the Grizzlies have 5 unders and 1 over.
- The Bucks have 5 overs and 1 under in 6 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- The Bucks are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Grizzlies are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Milwaukee has 4 overs and 1 under, while Memphis has 4 unders and 1 over.
- The Bucks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 9.6, down from 11.9 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Grizzlies have scored an average of 98.0 points per game (3.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 101.6 points per game (0.9 above their season average).
