Utah Jazz vs. Dallas Mavericks ATS Prediction

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The Dallas Mavericks (5-8) will be 4-point underdogs at home in the American Airlines Center when they clash with the Utah Jazz (7-6). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 213.5 points and it gets underway at 8:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 14, 2018.

Utah Jazz vs. Dallas Mavericks ATS Odds

Both teams covered as favorites in their last game. The Mavericks (2.5-point favorites) defeated the Chicago Bulls 103-98, while the Jazz (4-point favorites) beat the Memphis Grizzlies 96-88. The Dallas game finished 14.5 points under the projected point total of 215.5, while the Utah game finished 18 points under the projected point total of 202.

Utah dominated every facet of the game. They had a solid offensive rebounding percentage of 27.7 (above their season average of 23.0) and a free throw rate of 0.280 (above their season average of 0.257). For those same stats, Memphis was 18.2 and 0.228, respectively. The Mavericks, meanwhile, held the Bulls to an effective field goal percentage of 0.438 (below their season average of 0.515) and had a free throw rate of 0.237 (above their season average of 0.218). Harrison Barnes had a good outing for Dallas, contributing 23 points and five rebounds. Rudy Gobert, meanwhile was a key piece for Utah with 15 points and 16 rebounds.

In their two matchups this year, the Jazz have won both. The two teams combined to put up 219 points in their most recent game, which was just over the projected point total of 214. Utah won 117-102, covering as a 10-point favorite. Utah had a much better turnover percentage (9.9 vs. 20.9). Dallas, meanwhile, did a fantastic job of getting to and converting from the charity stripe (36-40; 90.0 percent). Gobert put up a double-double in the victory with 17 points and 10 rebounds.

Games featuring the Jazz have a tendency to go over the total (69.2 percent). Utah holds records of 7-6 straight up (SU) and 7-6 against the spread (ATS).

Of the Mavericks’ 13 games, 7 have finished over the O/U total. Although Dallas struggles winning games outright (5-8 SU), they have a superb record ATS (8-5).

Derrick Favors has really been playing well recently for Utah, averaging 12.4 points, 6.6 rebounds and 1.6 blocks over the last five games.

The high-powered offense of Utah (eighth in the league with an offensive efficiency of 109.1) will square off against the mid-tier defense of Dallas (23rd in the league with a defensive efficiency of 109.2). The Jazz figure to have the edge on that end of the court.

Utah Jazz vs. Dallas Mavericks Odds Pick

NBA Tip: SU Winner – Jazz, ATS Winner – Jazz, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Jazz rank fourth in three pointers allowed per game (28.5) while the Mavericks rank sixth (29.2).
  • Utah ranks third in assists allowed per game (21.8) while Dallas ranks 23rd (24.5).
  • The Mavericks rank fourth in points allowed in the paint per game (43.7) while the Jazz rank 10th (47.4).
  • Utah ranks second in rebounds allowed per game (40.8) while Dallas ranks sixth (41.8).
  • Utah ranks third in blocks allowed per game (4.2) while Dallas ranks fifth (4.6).
  • The Jazz average 8.0 steals per game, which ranks 11th in the league. The Mavericks rank 27th in steals allowed per game (9.8).
  • The Jazz rank third in second chance points allowed per game (11.2) while the Mavericks rank sixth (11.4).
  • Utah ranks 19th in fast break points per game (11.7) while Dallas ranks 21st in fast break points allowed per game (15.5).
  • Dallas averages 17.8 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA. Utah ranks 21st in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.6).
  • Dallas is 2-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Utah is 2-1.
  • In games where they score more than 100 points, the Mavericks are 5-8 and the Jazz are 6-4.
  • Dallas is 4-2 ATS at home, while Utah is 4-3 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 3 of the Mavericks’ 6 home games, while 4 of the Jazz’s 7 road games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Utah and Dallas are both 3-2 ATS.
  • The Jazz have 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games, while the Mavericks have 3 unders and 2 overs,
  • During their last five games, the Jazz have scored an average of 107.0 points per game (3.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 106.4 points per game (1.8 below their season average).
  • The Mavericks have outscored opponents by an average of 2.4 points in their last five games. For the season, Dallas has been defeated by an average of 2.3 points.