The Buffalo Bills and New York Jets will collide on the turf at MetLife Stadium. CBS will televise the action and this early afternoon game is scheduled to get underway at 1:00 p.m. ET.
Betting Preview: Buffalo Bills at New York Jets
In this Sunday AFC game, New York is projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 8 points. The Bills are also receiving +250 moneyline odds while the Jets are -310. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 36.5 points. There should be some good live betting scenarios during the showdown.
Sharp bettors are leaning toward the Bills. This game’s line originally opened at -9 while the over/under was set initially at 37.
The Bills are down 4.8 units this season and 3-6 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U record of 3-6.
The Jets have lost 2.2 units so far. The team is 3-6 ATS and owns an O/U record of 5-4.
The Bills are 2-7 straight up (SU), including 0-1 SU against AFC East opponents. The Jets are 3-6 SU overall and 0-2 SU against divisional foes.
The Bills are looking to bounce back after a 41-9 loss to Chicago last week. Nathan Peterman completed 31 passes for just 189 yards and three interceptions. LeSean McCoy (10 yards on 10 rush attempts) led the ground attack in the loss. Logan Thomas (seven receptions, 40 yards) and Kelvin Benjamin (four catches, 40 yards) handled the receiving duties.
In Week 9, Miami got the win against this New York crew by a score of 13-6. The Jets defense did its job in the loss, restricting the Dolphins to just 139 passing yards and 64 yards on the ground. Frank Gore put up a good showing for Miami, recording 53 rushing yards on 20 attempts. For New York, Sam Darnold completed 21-of-39 passes for 229 yards and four interceptions. Isaiah Crowell (49 yards on 13 rush attempts) mounted the ground game in the defeat while Robby Anderson (four receptions, 32 yards) and Chris Herndon (four catches, 62 yards) led the pass-catching attack.
Each of these squads sports a remarkably similar (45-55) run-pass ratio on the season. The Bills have rushed for 97.2 yards per game (including 46.0 per game versus East opponents) and have five scores via handoffs this year. The Jets are totaling 110.0 rush yards per game (61.0 in conference) and have six total rushing TDs.
The Bills offense has averaged 177.1 yards through the air overall (313.0 per game versus conference opposition) and has three passing TDs so far. The Jets have recorded 214.9 pass yards per contest (282 in the AFC) and have 11 total pass scores.
Defensively, Buffalo should have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 101.7 rush yards and 225.7 pass yards per game. The New York defense has allowed 261.6 yards per game to opposing passers and 109.2 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Bills have given up an ANY/A of 5.96 to opposing QBs, while the Jets are yielding an ANY/A of 5.68.
Passing-wise, Anderson has amassed 465 yards this year, and has connected on 60 percent of his 70 attempts with zero scores through the air and four interceptions. Anderson has a 3.36 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 5.21 over the past two games.
In the host locker room, Sam Darnold has completed 145-of-260 passes for 1,781 yards, 10 TDs and 14 INTs. Darnold’s ANY/A sits at 4.38 for the season and 2.63 across his past two games.
Buffalo Bills at New York Jets Betting Prediction
SU Winner: Jets, ATS Winner: Jets, O/U: Over
Team Betting Notes
- Both passing attacks have produced three pass plays of 40 or more yards. The Bills have have made seven pass plays of 30+ yards while the Jets have created six such plays.
- The Buffalo defense has allowed one pass play of 40 yards or more, while New York has given up three such plays.
- The Buffalo offense has created five rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while New York has created seven such runs.
- The Bills defense has allowed six rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Jets have given up 12 such runs.
- The Buffalo defensive unit has 22 sacks on the year while New York has 21.
- Buffalo has averaged 4.0 yards per carry over its past three games and 3.0 over its last two.
- New York has averaged 3.0 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.0 over its last two.
- Over its last three games, New York is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for Buffalo’s last game was set at 38. The over cashed in the team’s 41-9 defeat to Chicago.
- Over its last three contests, Buffalo is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for New York’s last game was set at 43. The under cashed in that 13-6 loss to Miami.
- Buffalo has lost six of its last seven games SU, with a one-point win over Tennessee on October 7th representing the only victory over that stretch.
