Calgary Flames at Toronto Maple Leafs Free Prediction

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Scotiabank Arena is playing host to a cross-country tilt as the Toronto Maple Leafs prepare to face the visiting Calgary Flames. Sportsnet will broadcast the game, and the action gets underway at 7 p.m. ET on Monday, October 29.

Calgary Flames at Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

Toronto (-145) is currently favored over Calgary (+125), and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at 6 goals (-110 for the over, -110 for the under).

Toronto is 8-3 straight up (SU) and has earned 2.2 units for moneyline bettors this year. That winning percentage, ranked first in the league in this young season, is an improvement over the 49-33 record from last year’s regular season campaign. Seven of its 11 outings have gone under the total, while four have gone over and none have pushed. The team’s 3-3 SU at home so far this year.

The Maple Leafs have converted on 32.1 percent of their power play chances this season, a mark that places them in the top-5 among NHL teams. On the other hand, their penalty kill is ranked 14th overall, and they’ve successfully killed off 80.0 percent of all penalties.

As a collective unit, the Maple Leafs have been penalized just 2.9 times per game this season. Last year, they posted the second-best figure in the league with 3.3 penalties per game. After serving an average of 7.2 penalty minutes per game a year ago, the team has had to kill penalties for 6.3 minutes per outing this season.

Sporting a .916 save percentage and 27.9 saves per game, Frederik Andersen (six wins, three losses) has been the most dependable goalkeeper for Toronto this season. If head coach Mike Babcock decides to give him the night off, however, Toronto might turn to the undefeated Garret Sparks (2-0 record, .892 save percentage, 3.49 goals against average).

Auston Matthews and Mitchell Marner will each look to continue their strong seasons for the Maple Leafs. Matthews (16 points) has tallied 10 goals and six assists and has recorded two or more points seven times this year. Marner has four goals and 11 assists to his credit and has notched a point in seven games.

Calgary is 5-6 straight up (SU) and has lost 1.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline this year. Through 11 regular season contests, seven of its games have gone over the total, while four have gone under the total and none have pushed. As the away team, the Flames are 3-3 SU so far.

The Flames have converted on just 15.6 percent of their power play opportunities this season, a mark that’s ranked 24th in the NHL. On the other hand, its penalty kill unit is ranked 27th overall and it’s successfully killed off 71.8 percent of all penalties.

Calgary’s skaters have been penalized only 3.6 times per game this season. Last year, that number was at 4.4, which was the second-highest mark in the league. After serving an average of 11.2 penalty minutes per game a season ago the team has had to stave off opponent power plays for just 7.9 minutes per outing this year.

Mike Smith (.869 save percentage and 3.91 goals against average) has been the primary option in goal for Calgary. Smith is averaging 23.1 saves per game and has three wins, five losses, and one OT loss to his credit.

Johnny Gaudreau (five goals, nine assists) has been one of the top facilitators on offense for the visiting Flames.

Calgary Flames at Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Predictions

Free NHL Tip: SU Winner – Maple Leafs, O/U – Over

Betting Trends

  • Calgary has averaged 3.3 goals per game overall this year, but has been averaging 2.0 goals per matchup over its last three games (0-3 SU over that span).
  • Power plays and penalty kills may prove to be key in tonight’s game. The Flames are 1-3 when they serve fewer penalty minutes than their opponent and 4-4 in games where they serve fewer than 10 total penalty minutes. The Maple Leafs are 3-0 when they serve fewer penalty minutes than the opposition and 7-3 in games where they’re in the box for less than 10 minutes.
  • After posting a 2-5 record in games decided by a shootout last year, Calgary is off to a 0-1 start in shootouts this season. Toronto was 7-2 in shootouts last year and has yet to participate in one this time around.
  • The under has hit in each of Toronto’s last five games.