The Dallas Mavericks (2-4), 6.5-point underdogs, will be at AT&T Center to go head-to-head with the San Antonio Spurs (3-2) in a Southwest Division matchup. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 216.5 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Southwest at 8:30 p.m. ET on Monday, October 29, 2018.
Dallas Mavericks vs. San Antonio Spurs Betting Odds
In the Spurs’ last matchup, they beat the Los Angeles Lakers, 110-106, as 1-point underdogs. The Mavericks, meanwhile, were topped by the Utah Jazz, 113-104, and failed to cover as 11-point underdogs. The San Antonio game went 16.5 points under the projected point total of 232.5, while the Dallas game finished 4.5 points under the projected point total of 221.5.
San Antonio played a nearly flawless game. They had a free throw rate of 0.209 (below their season average of 0.212) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.5 (below their season average of 29.1). Los Angeles was 0.128 and 15.9, respectively, for those same stats. Dallas, meanwhile, forced Utah into a turnover percentage of 16.7 (above the 13.3 mark opponents have averaged against Dallas this season). San Antonio received a boost from DeMar DeRozan, who recorded 30 points, 12 rebounds and eight assists. DeAndre Jordan, meanwhile fueled Dallas with 12 points, 19 rebounds and nine assists.
Half-court execution will be at a premium when a pair of the league’s slowest-paced teams square off. San Antonio ranks 30th in possessions per game (97.1) and Dallas is 24th (98.3) since the 2017-18 season. Moreover, the 23rd-ranked offense of the Mavericks (offensive efficiency of 104.8) will face a difficult test against the fourth-ranked defense of the Spurs (defensive efficiency of 104.1).
Vegas is known to place the total low when the Mavericks are involved, as three of their 5 games have finished over the O/U total. Although Dallas has trouble winning games straight up (2-4 SU), they have a solid 3-2 record against the spread (ATS).
Much like Dallas, games featuring the Spurs also have typically finished over the O/U total (80.0 percent). Moreover, San Antonio is 3-2 SU and 3-2 ATS.
The Spurs took this series last year, winning three out of four games. In the most recent contest, San Antonio won 98-96. San Antonio’s rebounding was their largest strength. The Spurs had nine offensive rebounds and 41 total rebounds, while the Mavericks had four and 38, respectively.
Dallas Mavericks vs. San Antonio Spurs Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Spurs, ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Over
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
- Dallas ranks third in three pointers attempted per game (33.1) while San Antonio ranks 27th (24.3).
- The Spurs rank 12th in rebounds per game (44.0) while the Mavericks rank 27th (41.4).
- Dallas ranks third in points allowed in the paint per game (42.2) while San Antonio ranks 12th (44.0).
- San Antonio ranks 23rd in fast break points allowed per game (13.0) while Dallas ranks 27th (14.6).
- The Spurs rank sixth in blocks per game (5.4) while the Mavericks rank 27th (3.9).
- The Spurs rank 19th in points off turnovers per game (16.1) while the Mavericks rank 26th (15.0).
- San Antonio ranks ninth in second chance points per game (13.2) while Dallas ranks 28th (10.7).
- Dallas is 16-13 when they allow under 100 points, while San Antonio is 33-11.
- In games where they reach 100 points, the Mavericks are 20-32 and the Spurs are 40-16.
