Toronto Raptors at Milwaukee Bucks ATS Prediction

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The Milwaukee Bucks (6-0) welcome the Toronto Raptors (6-0) to Fiserv Forum, where both teams try to stay unbeaten. Action gets underway at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, October 29, 2018, and can be seen on Fox Sports Net Wisconsin.

Toronto Raptors vs. Milwaukee Bucks Betting Odds

The last time the Bucks played, they easily covered the 9-point spread against the Orlando Magic, 113-91. The Raptors, meanwhile, defeated the Dallas Mavericks, 116-107, but failed to cover as 11-point favorites. The Milwaukee game finished 16 points under the projected point total of 220, while the Toronto game went 1.5 points over the projected point total of 221.5.

Toronto dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 26.1 (above their season average of 24.9) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.544 (below their season average of 0.568). Dallas was 20.8 and 0.478, respectively, for those same stats. The Bucks, on the other hand, knocked down 21 of their 23 free throws (91.3 percent) and held the Magic to an effective field goal percentage of 0.376 (below their season average of 0.487). Khris Middleton had a solid performance for Milwaukee, contributing 18 points and seven rebounds. Meanwhile, Toronto was led by Kyle Lowry, who put up 20 points and 12 assists.

The physical Milwaukee offense could be living from the charity stripe in this matchup. The Bucks rank fifth in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.215, while Toronto ranks 24th in FTA rate allowed (0.211) dating back to the 2017-18 season. ,

Raptors games tend to go over the projected point total (83.3 percent). Toronto holds records of 6-0 straight up (SU) and 3-3 against the spread (ATS).

Games involving the Bucks also have a tendency to go over the total (66.7 percent). Moreover, Milwaukee is 6-0 SU and 4-2 ATS.

The Raptors edged out the Bucks in this series last year, winning two out of three games. In the last matchup, Milwaukee won 122-119. Milwaukee out-rebounded Toronto. The Bucks had 13 offensive rebounds and 51 total rebounds, while the Raptors had five and 37, respectively.

Toronto Raptors vs. Milwaukee Bucks ATS Pick

Free Pick: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Over

Betting Notes (2017-Present):

  • The Bucks rank third in points off turnovers per game (17.9) while the Raptors rank 12th (16.7).
  • Toronto ranks fourth in three pointers attempted per game (32.3) while Milwaukee ranks 25th (25.7).
  • The Raptors rank sixth in points in the paint per game (49.0) while the Bucks rank 22nd in points allowed in the paint per game (46.7).
  • Milwaukee averages 5.6 blocks per game, which ranks fourth in the league. Toronto ranks 19th in blocks allowed per game (4.9).
  • Toronto ranks 18th in rebounds per game (43.8) while Milwaukee ranks 29th (40.7).
  • The Raptors rank 12th in second chance points per game (12.8) while the Bucks rank last (10.4).
  • The Bucks rank second in fast break points allowed per game (9.9) while the Raptors rank 16th (12.2).
  • Toronto ranks sixth in assists per game (24.1) while Milwaukee ranks 15th in assists allowed per game (23.3).
  • Milwaukee ranks fifth in steals per game (8.5) while Toronto ranks 22nd (7.4).
  • When allowing less than 100 points, Toronto is 30-5 and Milwaukee is 21-6.
  • In games where they score more than 100 points, the Bucks are 46-22 and the Raptors are 63-19.