Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs: Week 8 Free Betting Pick

The Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs are ready to square off on the grass at Arrowhead Stadium. Kickoff for this AFC West showdown is set for 1:00 p.m. ET and fans can watch the action on CBS.,

Betting Preview: Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs

In this Sunday AFC game, Kansas City is tabbed as the big favorite and the team’s currently giving up 10 points. The Broncos are also receiving +325 moneyline odds while the Chiefs are -475. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 56 points. If the favorites start trailing in the early stages, it will likely generate a reasonable betting opportunity in-game.,

Sharp bettors are leaning toward the Chiefs. The line initially opened at -9 and the game’s over/under was originally 55.5.,

The Broncos are 2-4-1 against the spread (ATS) and are down 1.1 units so far. The team’s posted an Over-Under record of 3-4.,

The surprising Chiefs have gained 5.9 units this season. They’re 7-0 ATS and have an O/U record of 4-3.,

The Broncos are 3-4 straight up (SU), including 1-1 SU against AFC West opponents. The Chiefs are 6-1 SU overall and 2-0 SU against divisional foes.,

The Broncos are trying to keep things going after a solid 45-10 victory over Arizona last week. The D did its part in the win, limiting the Cardinals to just 194 passing yards and 69 yards on the ground. David Johnson had a productive day for the Cardinals in that one with 39 rushing yards on 14 attempts. Offensively, Case Keenum completed 14-of-21 passes for just 161 yards, along with one score and a pick. Phillip Lindsay (90 yards on 14 rush attempts, one TD) and Royce Freeman (37 yards on 13 carries, one TD) led the ground attack while Emmanuel Sanders (six receptions, 102 yards, one TD) and Demaryius Thomas (five catches, 42 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.,

Kansas City is coming off of a 45-10 win over Cincinnati a week ago. The defensive unit held its ground in the victory, keeping the Bengals to only 187 passing yards and 65 rushing yards. A.J. Green was a bright spot in the loss, recording 117 yards on seven catches for Cincinnati. For Kansas City, Patrick Mahomes completed 28-of-39 passes for 358 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Kareem Hunt (86 rushing yards on 15 attempts, one TD) and Spencer Ware (59 yards on eight carries) mounted the running game while Tyreek Hill (seven receptions, 68 yards, one TD) and Travis Kelce (five catches, 95 yards) led the receiving attack in the win.,

Looking at offensive play-calling, each of these teams sports a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Denver’s run the ball on 40.1 percent of its offensive possessions while Kansas City has a rush percentage of 42.0. The Broncos have rushed for 125.1 yards per game (including 163.5 per game versus West opponents) and have eight scores on the ground this year. The Chiefs are logging 124.3 rush yards per game (124.0 in conference) and have seven total rushing TDs.,

The Broncos offensive scheme has averaged 268.0 yards through the air overall (233.5 per game against conference opposition) and has nine passing TDs so far. The Chiefs have put up 317.6 pass yards per contest (280 against AFC competition) and have 22 total pass scores.,

Defensively, Denver should have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has let opponents rush for an average of 148.1 yards and pass for 251.4 yards per game. The Kansas City D has given up 332.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 118.9 yards per game to opposing runners. The Broncos are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.72 to opposing QBs, while the Chiefs have allowed a 6.59 ANY/A.,

Offensively, Keenum has put up 1,526 passing yards on the year, and has completed 64 percent of his 213 attempts with six scores through the air and eight interceptions. He has a 5.24 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.32 over the last two outings.,

In the home locker room, Patrick Mahomes has completed 140-of-215 passes for 1,871 yards, 18 TDs and three INTs. Mahomes’ ANY/A stands at 9.26 for the season and 9.48 over his past two outings.,

Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs Free Prediction

SU Winner: Chiefs, ATS Winner: Broncos, O/U: Under

Betting Trends,

The Denver D has 22 sacks on the year while Kansas City has 19.,

The Kansas City offense has lost one fumble in 2018 while the Denver offense has yet to lose any.,

The Broncos offense has tallied five pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Chiefs have put up eight such plays.,

The Denver defense has allowed five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Kansas City has given up four such plays.,

The Denver offense has created six rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Kansas City has created eight such runs.,

The Broncos defense has allowed 10 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Chiefs have given up five such runs.,

The O/U for Kansas City’s previous match was set at 56. The under cashed in the 45-10 win over Cincinnati.,

Over its last three games, Kansas City is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.,

Over its last three matches, Denver is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.,

The O/U for Denver’s last game was set at 42. The over cashed in the team’s 45-10 victory over Arizona.,

Denver, as a team, has produced 4.4 yards per carry across its past three outings and 4.0 over its last two.,

Kansas City has averaged 5.5 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 6.3 over its last two.