Texas Longhorns at Oklahoma State Cowboys: College Football Free Betting Pick

The No. 25 Cowboys of Oklahoma State (+3) are gearing up to host the Texas Longhorns (-3) at Boone Pickens Stadium. Kickoff for this pivotal Big 12 game is set for 8:00 p.m. ET and ABC is in line to televise the action.

Betting Preview: Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Texas Longhorns

In this Saturday Big 12 matchup, Texas is labeled as the favorite and is currently giving up 3 points. The Longhorns are also receiving -155 moneyline odds while the Cowboys are +135. If one side gets out in front early it will result in a worthy in-game betting opportunity. Oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 59.5 points.

Sharp bettors have been siding with the Longhorns, as the line opened at 1.5. The game’s total has yet to change after it was initially set at 59.5.

The Longhorns are 3-4 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 1.4 units so far. The team’s posted an O/U record of 3-4.

The lackluster Cowboys have lost 13.0 units this season. They’re 3-4 ATS and have an even O/U record of 3-3.

The Longhorns are 6-1 straight up (SU), including 4-0 SU against conference opponents. The Cowboys are 4-3 SU overall and are also 1-3 SU in conference play.

When these two programs faced each other last year, Oklahoma State knocked off Texas by a field goal 13-10.

Texas enters this contest on a zero-game winless streak while Oklahoma State has won zero in a row. The Longhorns are coming off a 23-17 win over Baylor on October 13 where the Longhorns completed 24-of-39 passes for 219 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Shane Buechele went 20-for-34 for 184 yards, one touchdown and one interception while Sam Ehlinger completed four-of-five for 35 yards. Keaontay Ingram (110 yards on 19 rush attempts) and Tre Watson (41 yards on 13 carries) led the running attack while Collin Johnson (11 receptions, 132 yards, one TD) and Lil’Jordan Humphrey (seven catches, 41 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

Oklahoma State just fell 31-12 to Kansas State back in Week 7. The team’s defensive unit let the Wildcats eat up the clock by running for 291 yards on 55 rush attempts, including four rush TDs. Alex Barnes was outstandingfor the Wildcats, putting up 181 rushing yards and four touchdowns on 34 attempts, along with 51 yards on three catches. For Oklahoma State, Taylor Cornelius completed 17-of-35 passes for 184 yards and two interceptions. Cornelius (55 yards on 11 rush attempts, one TD) and Justice Hill (41 yards on 11 carries) spearheaded the running game while Tylan Wallace (five receptions, 90 yards) and Chuba Hubbard (four catches, 35 yards) led all Oklahoma State pass-catchers in the loss.

When analyzing offensive play-calling, each squad has a remarkably similar (54-46) run-pass ratio on the season. The Longhorns have run for 159.0 yards per game (including 142.5 per game against Big 12 opponents) and have 11 scores on the ground this year. The Cowboys are averaging 201.1 rush yards per game (159.3 in conference) and have 16 total rushing TDs.

It appears that the Cowboys ought to own an advantage when it comes to efficiency in the ground game, as their running backs has generated 5.1 yards per carry while the defense is allowing 3.6 YPC to opponents. The Longhorns have tallied 3.9 yards per carry while allowing 3.8 YPC to opponents.

The Longhorns offensive scheme has tallied 251.4 yards per game in the air overall (256.5 per game against conference opposition) and has 13 passing TDs so far. The Cowboys have put up 291.9 pass yards per outing (261 in the Big 12) and have 17 total pass scores.

Texas seems to hold an edge in both defensive facets. The team has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 126.4 yards and throw for 234.4 yards per game. The Oklahoma State D has allowed 252.1 yards per game to opposing passers and 142.6 yards per game to opposing runners. The Longhorns are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.46 to opposing QBs, while the Cowboys have allowed a 6.26 ANY/A.

Cornelius has completed 115-of-194 passes for 1,725 yards, 12 TDs and seven INTs. Cornelius’ adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 7.60 for the year and 4.60 across his last two outings. In the other huddle, Sam Ehlinger has amassed 1,220 passing yards on the year, and has connected on 112-of-172 attempts with nine passing touchdowns and only two interceptions. Ehlinger’s got a 6.99 ANY/A for the year, although that number is 9.20 over the last two games.

Texas Longhorns at Oklahoma State Cowboys Free Prediction

SU Winner: Texas, ATS Winner: Texas, O/U: Over

Team Betting Notes

The Oklahoma State defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 30 times this year. Texas has recorded just 12 sacks.

The Oklahoma State offense has lost four fumbles in 2018 while the Texas offense has lost three.

The Longhorns offense has tallied four pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Cowboys have accounted for eight such plays.

The Texas defense has allowed eight pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Oklahoma State has given up three such plays.

The Texas offense has created five rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Oklahoma State has created 17 such runs.

The Longhorns defense has allowed four rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Cowboys have given up nine such runs.

The Over/Under for Oklahoma State’s last outing was set at 62.5. The under cashed in the 31-12 defeat to Kansas State.

In its last three contests, Oklahoma State is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

Over its last three matches, Texas is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

Oklahoma State has dropped four of its last five games SU, with a 20-point triumph over Kansas on September 29th representing its only win over that span.

The O/U for Texas’ previous game was 59. The under cashed in the team’s 23-17 victory over Baylor.

As a team, Texas has averaged 4.2 yards per rush attempt across its last three games and 4.4 over its last two.

Oklahoma State has averaged 4.4 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.6 over its past two.