New Orleans Pelicans at Brooklyn Nets ATS Prediction

Victor TrejosBasketball, NBA

Expect a fast-paced game when the Brooklyn Nets (2-2), 9.5-point underdogs, head to New Orleans to take on the Pelicans (3-0). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 237 points and it can be seen on YES Network at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, October 26, 2018.

Brooklyn Nets vs. New Orleans Pelicans Betting Odds

Both teams covered in their last matchup. The Pelicans (5.5-point favorites) defeated the Los Angeles Clippers 116-109, while the Nets (2.5-point underdog) beat the Cleveland Cavaliers 102-86. The New Orleans game finished 12.5 points under the projected point total of 237.5, while the Brooklyn game finished 37.5 points under the projected point total of 225.5.

The Nets held the Cavaliers to an effective field goal percentage of 0.399 (below their season average of 0.496). The Cavaliers also had a turnover percentage of 13.5 (above the 8.0 mark opponents have averaged against Brooklyn this season). The Pelicans, on the other hand, had a much better turnover percentage (6.7 vs. 13.9) and had a better free throw rate (0.323 vs. 0.253). Anthony Davis fueled New Orleans with 34 points, 13 rebounds and five blocks. Meanwhile, Brooklyn was lifted by D’Angelo Russell, who finished with 18 points and eight assists.

There should be plenty of transition action in this contest that features two of the league’s more fast-breaking teams. New Orleans ranks second in possessions per game (103.5) and Brooklyn is fifth (101.3) since last season. ,

The Nets have had records of 30-56 straight up (SU) and 42-42-2 against the spread (ATS) since last season. It’s tough to find a trend for games including Brooklyn since last year in regards to the O/U total as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.

On the other hand, the Pelicans, are 51-34 SU and 41-42-2 ATS since last season. Just over half of New Orleans’ games have finished under the O/U total over that same stretch.

The Pelicans dominated this series last year, winning both games. In the last game, New Orleans won 138-128. One of New Orleans’ largest advantages was getting to the free throw line. They had 39 free throw attempts, while Brooklyn had just 22.

Brooklyn Nets at New Orleans Pelicans Pick

Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Pelicans, ATS Winner – Pelicans, O/U – Under

Betting Notes (2017-Present):

  • The Nets rank 14th in second chance points per game (12.5) while the Pelicans rank 29th in second chance points allowed per game (13.5).
  • Brooklyn ranks first in three pointers allowed per game (24.5) while New Orleans ranks 26th (30.7).
  • The Pelicans average 44.7 rebounds per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. The Nets rank last in rebounds allowed per game (46.6).
  • New Orleans ranks eighth in steals per game (8.0) while Brooklyn ranks 29th (6.2).
  • Brooklyn ranks fifth in assists allowed per game (21.6) while New Orleans ranks 21st (23.8).
  • The Pelicans rank first in points in the paint per game (53.2) while the Nets rank 25th in points allowed in the paint per game (47.4).
  • The Pelicans rank third in fast break points per game (15.7) while the Nets rank 21st (10.6).
  • New Orleans ranks 17th in points off turnovers per game (16.4) while Brooklyn ranks last (14.1).
  • New Orleans averages 5.8 blocks per game, which ranks third in the league. Brooklyn ranks 26th in blocks allowed per game (5.4).
  • Brooklyn is 14-1 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while New Orleans is 13-2.
  • The Pelicans are 52-25 when they reach 100 points, while the Nets are 26-37.
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