Miami Dolphins vs. Houston Texans – Week 8 Free Betting Matchup

Victor TrejosFootball, NFL

The Miami Dolphins (+7) are heading west to face the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium. The Thursday Night Football showdown kicks off at 8:20 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to the action on FOX.

Thursday Night FootballBetting Preview: Miami Dolphins at Houston Texans

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In a game featuring two squads that could very well meet again in the AFC playoffs, Houston is getting picked as the favorite and is currently giving up 7 points. The Dolphins are also receiving +230 moneyline odds while the Texans are -280. This AFC matchup should provide several decent in-game betting opportunities, and oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 45.5 points.

The Dolphins have gained 2.6 units so far and are 4-3 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an Over-Under record of 4-3.

The Texans have lost 0.7 units this season. The team is 2-4-1 ATS and has an O/U record of 2-5.

The Dolphins have gone 4-3 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Texans are also 4-3 SU.

The Dolphins look to bounce back after a 32-21 loss to Detroit in Week 7. Brock Osweiler completed 22 passes on 31 attempts for 239 yards and two touchdowns. Frank Gore (only 29 yards on 10 rush attempts) and Kenyan Drake (72 yards on six carries, one TD) led the running attack in the loss while Danny Amendola (six receptions, 84 yards, one TD) and Drake (four catches, 15 yards) handled the receiving duties.

The Houston Texans are coming off of a 20-7 win over Jacksonville a week ago. The defense did its duty in the victory, limiting the Jaguars to just 217 passing yards and 70 yards on the ground. Donte Moncrief was a bright spot in the loss, recording 76 yards on seven catches for Jacksonville. For Houston, Deshaun Watson completed 12-of-24 passes for 139 yards and one touchdown. Lamar Miller (100 yards on 22 rush attempts, one TD) handled the ground game in the win while Will Fuller V (six receptions, 68 yards) and DeAndre Hopkins (three catches, 50 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps.

Miami has run the ball on 43.9 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Houston has an overall rush percentage of 46.0 percent. The Dolphins have rushed for 106.9 yards per game and have two touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Texans are logging 113.7 rushing yards per game and have three total rush TDs.

The Dolphins offense has tallied 239.7 yards/contest through the air overall and has 15 passing scores so far. The Texans have put up 276.7 pass yards per game and have 10 total pass TDs.

Miami has allowed opponents to run for an average of 136.7 yards and pass for 279.1 yards per game. The Houston defense has allowed 257.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 92.1 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Dolphins have given up an ANY/A of 6.50 to opposing QBs, while the Texans are allowing an ANY/A of 6.18.

Passing-wise, Osweiler has put up 274 yards on the year. He’s completed 26-of-36 attempts with three passing scores and has yet to throw an interception. He has a 7.75 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.66 over the last two outings.

On the other sideline, Deshaun Watson has managed to complete 137-of-216 passes for 1,760 yards, nine TDs and five INTs. Watson’s ANY/A sits at 6.90 for the year and 3.91 over his past two games.

Miami Dolphins at Houston Texans Free NFL Tip

SU Winner: Texans, ATS Winner: Dolphins, O/U: Over

Team Betting Trends

  • The Houston defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 19 times this season. Miami has recorded just 11 sacks.
  • Houston has lost four fumbles this season while the Miami offense has let five get away.
  • The Dolphins offense has tallied five pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Texans have accounted for one such play.
  • The Miami defense has allowed seven pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Houston has given up five such plays.
  • The Miami offense has created six rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Houston has created one such run.
  • The Dolphins defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Texans have given up one such run.
  • Miami, as a team, has averaged 5.5 yards per carry across its last three games and 5.4 over its last two.
  • Houston has averaged 3.3 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.5 over its past two.