The Wake Forest Demon Deacons (+10) are heading south to take on the Florida State Seminoles at Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell Stadium. This pivotal conference game will get underway at 3:30 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to ESPN2.
Betting Preview: Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Florida State Seminoles
The Demon Deacons approach this Saturday ACC game as a big underdog and are currently getting 10 points. In order to take the home favorite, moneyline gamblers would currently need to put down $400 to win $100 back on the Noles (-400). The Demon Deacons are getting +300 moneyline odds. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 60.5 points. If Florida State starts trailing early, it’ll probably result in a nice live betting opportunity.
This line initially opened at -11 and the game’s over/under was originally 60, so early action appears to be leaned toward the Demon Deacons.
The Demon Deacons are 1-5 against the spread (ATS) and are down 1.0 unit so far. The team’s posted an O/U record of 5-1.
The lackluster Seminoles have lost 4.0 units this season. The team is 2-4 ATS and has an O/U record of 4-2.
The Demon Deacons have gone 3-3 straight up (SU), including 0-2 SU against conference opponents. The Seminoles are 3-3 SU overall and 1-3 SU in conference play.
These two programs met last year with the final outcome being a 26-19 victory for Florida State.
The Demon Deacons lost to Clemson 63-3 in a blowout where the passing game the primary culprit as the Demon Deacons completed 7-of-27 passes for 74 yards and one interception. Sam Hartman went seven-for-20 for 74 yards and one interception while Kendall Hinton completed zero-of-five for zero yards. Matt Colburn II (only 27 rushing yards on 12 attempts) and Kendall Hinton (92 yards on 11 carries) spearheaded the running attack while Jack Freudenthal (three receptions, 31 yards) and Greg Dortch (three catches, 37 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.
A couple of weeks ago, Miami (FL) knocked off this Florida State crew by a score of 28-27. The Noles defense allowed the Hurricanes to rush for 102 yards on 46 attempts. Travis Homer had a productive showing, recording 70 rushing yards on 21 attempts for Miami (FL). For Florida State, Deondre Francois completed 15-of-30 passes for 129 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Francois (-13 yards on 11 rush attempts) and Cam Akers (46 yards on 11 carries) spearheaded the running game while D.J. Matthews (five receptions, 15 yards) and Tamorrion Terry (two catches, 37 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.
Wake Forest has run the ball on 60.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Florida State has a rush percentage of 49.8 percent. The Demon Deacons have run for 232.8 yards/game (including 236.5 per game versus Atlantic Coast opponents) and have nine touchdowns on the ground this year. The Noles are averaging 92.8 rush yards per game (75.5 in conference) and have four total rushing TDs.
The Deacs offensive scheme has logged 215.0 yards per game in the air overall (144.0 per game versus conference opposition) and has 10 passing scores so far. The Noles have put up 251.2 pass yards per outing (209 in the ACC) and have 11 total pass TDs.
Defensively, Wake Forest has let opponents rush for an average of 236.5 yards and pass for 264.2 yards per game. The Florida State D has allowed 271.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 101.2 yards per game to opposing runners. The Noles are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.81 to opponents, while the Demon Deacons have allowed a 7.71 ANY/A.
Offensively, Hartman has put up 1,018 passing yards this season. The signal-caller has completed 52 percent of his 167 attempts with six scores through the air and six interceptions. He’s got a 4.49 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 7.83 over the past two games.
Deondre Francois has managed to complete 109-of-178 passes for 1,212 yards, seven TDs and six INTs for Florida State. His ANY/A sits at 4.91 for the season and 7.38 across his past two outings.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Florida State Seminoles Free NCAA Betting Tip
SU Winner: Florida State, ATS Winner: Florida State, O/U: Under
Team Betting Notes
- The Over/Under for Wake Forest’s previous game going into it was 61. The over cashed in the team’s 63-3 loss to Clemson.
- As a team, Wake Forest has produced 4.0 yards per carry over its last three games and 3.8 over its last two.
- Florida State has averaged 2.2 yards per carry over its last three contests and 2.3 over its past two.
- Florida State has lost eight fumbles this season while Wake Forest has let three get away.
- Over its last three contests, Wake Forest is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
- The O/U for Florida State’s previous outing was set at 48.5. The over cashed in the team’s 28-27 defeat to Miami (FL).
- Over its last three matches, Florida State is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
- The Demon Deacons have made seven pass plays of 30+ yards while the Seminoles have accounted for 12 such plays.
- The Wake Forest defense has allowed seven pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Florida State has given up eight such plays.
- The Wake Forest offense has created 11 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Florida State has created three such runs.
- The Demon Deacons defense has allowed 17 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Seminoles have given up four such runs.
- The Florida State defensive unit has sacked opposing QBs 19 times this year. Wake Forest has recorded just 12 sacks.
