The Miami Marlins will be taking on their division rival New York Mets at Citi Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 3:10 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York will televise the matchup.
Miami Marlins at New York Mets Odds
The Mets are 80-79 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 76-85 straight up (SU). The team has lost 10.3 units for moneyline bettors and 6.3 units (ATS). On the other hand, the Marlins are 63-97 SU and have gone 82-77 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 3.3 units for moneyline bettors and 11.4 units ATS.
Mets games have a 70-80-9 over/under record in 2018. Miami has been a decent over bet with a total record of 80-74-5.
Right-hander Sandy Alcantara will get the start for the visiting Marlins. Alcantara (2-2, 4.00 ERA) has recorded 20 strikeouts in 27 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with eight strikeouts and a 2.25 ERA against New York this year (two starts).
The Mets will put the ball in the right hand of Noah Syndergaard (12-4, 3.22 ERA, 1.25 WHIP), who has 149 strikeouts and 39 walks this season. Syndergaard is 2-0 with 12 strikeouts and a 2.77 ERA over two starts against Miami this year.
New York’s pitching staff has allowed 4.4 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starters have a 3.58 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.96 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. In 75 games against NL East opponents, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.35 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.92.
New York’s hitters have put up 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 2.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .201/.318/.317 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Mets’ hitters have been led by shortstop Amed Rosario and right fielder Michael Conforto. Rosario is slashing .258/.297/.383 with nine home runs, 51 RBIs, 76 runs and 24 stolen bases, while Conforto’s line sits at .244/.351/.450 with 28 homers, 82 RBIs and 78 runs.
In the other dugout, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.37 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 7.62 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.35, along with a K/9 of 7.97.
Marlins hitters have slashed .238/.305/.358 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson continue to lead Miami’s offense. Castro is hitting .279/.330/.400 with 12 home runs, 54 RBIs and 76 runs scored, while Anderson (.273/.357/.400) is up to 11 homers, 65 RBIs and 87 runs scored.
Miami Marlins at New York Mets MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Miami has tallied 10 extra-base hits over its last five contests. New York has 11 XBH over its last five.
- The Mets have won three of their last four games SU.
- Miami has posted 19.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.8 over its last five.
- The Marlins have hit five home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit six over their last 10.
