The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-13) are traveling west to battle their in-conference foe San Jose State Spartans at CEFCU Stadium. The game is scheduled to get going at 7:00 p.m. ET.
Betting Preview: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. San Jose State Spartans
San Jose State is projected to play the role of underdog and is currently getting 13 points in this Saturday MWC matchup. The Rainbow Warriors are also receiving -550 moneyline odds while the Spartans are +375. If one side can create a bunch of points early on, it would likely produce a reasonable in-game betting scenario.
This game’s line originally opened at 9 but sharp bettors tend to be siding with the Rainbow Warriors.
The profitable Rainbow Warriors are 2-2-1 against the spread (ATS) and have recorded 12.1 units so far. The team’s recorded an Over-Under mark of 3-2.
The Spartans have lost 1.6 units this season. The team is 1-2 ATS and owns an O/U record of 0-2.
The Rainbow Warriors are 4-1 straight up (SU), including 1-0 SU against MWC opponents. The Spartans are 0-3 SU overall and 0-0 SU in conference play.
The Rainbow Warriors are coming off a resounding 42-21 victory over Duquesne last week. Cole McDonald completed 24 passes for 273 yards, five touchdowns and one interception. McDonald (56 rushing yards on 12 attempts) also mounted the running attack and was complemented by Dayton Furuta (114 yards on 12 carries). Cedric Byrd (seven receptions, 55 yards, one TD) and JoJo Ward (six catches, 89 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the win.
San Jose State just suffered a 35-22 loss to Oregon. As a group, the team collectively completed 20-of-41 passes for 267 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Josh Love went 15-for-31 for 238 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions while Montel Aaron was five-of-10 for 29 yards. Malike Roberson (25 rushing yards on 16 attempts, one TD) handled the running game as Josh Oliver (six receptions, 41 yards, one TD) and Bailey Gaither (six catches, 90 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.
Each of these teams has a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Hawaii’s run the ball on 43.7 percent of its offensive possessions while San Jose State has an overall rush percentage of 42.4. Having said that, the Rainbow Warriors have rushed for 146.6 yards/game and have seven scores on the ground this year. The Spartans haven’t been as successful, as they’re totaling 59.7 rushing yards per game and have three total rush TDs.
The Rainbow Warriors offensive scheme has averaged a stout 353.4 yards in the air overall and has 20 passing TDs so far. The Spartans have produced 244.0 pass yards per outing and have four total pass scores.
Hawaii appears to have an edge when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has let opponents rush for an average of 183.2 yards and pass for 245.0 yards per game. The San Jose State defense has allowed 391.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 133.7 yards per game on the ground. The Spartans are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 7.08 to opposing QBs, while the Rainbow Warriors have given up a staggering 8.78 ANY/A.
Offensively, McDonald has already amassed 1,438 passing yards this year. He’s completed 68 percent of his 151 attempts with 18 scores through the air and only one interception. McDonald has a pristine 10.75 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 8.64 over the past two outings.
John Ursua (500 receiving yards, seven receiving touchdowns on the year), Dayton Furuta (168 rush yards, 41 receiving yards) and Cedric Byrd (374 receiving yards, six TDs) have each played key roles recently.
Josh Love has completed 29-of-60 passes for 347 yards, two TDs and three INTs for San Jose State. His ANY/A stands at a minuscule 3.70 for the season and 4.73 over his past two games.
Similar to the Rainbow Warriors, expect a balanced attack offensively from San Jose State this Saturday. Bailey Gaither, Malike Roberson and Josh Oliver have combined to account for 278 yards from scrimmage and two touchdowns the last two outings.
These two schools met last year with the final result being a 37-26 win for Hawaii.
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. San Jose State Spartans Free NCAA Betting Tip
SU Winner: Hawaii, ATS Winner: Hawaii
Team Betting Notes
- The Hawaii D has three times as many sacks as San Jose State this year (nine to three).
- The San Jose State offense has lost one fumble this season while the Hawaii offense has lost three.
- The Rainbow Warriors offense has registered seven pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Spartans have put up three such plays.
- The Hawaii defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while San Jose State has given up three such plays.
- The Hawaii offense has created seven rushing plays of 20+ yards, while San Jose State has created two such runs.
- The Rainbow Warriors defense has allowed 11 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Spartans have given up four such runs.
- San Jose State was favored by 43 points in its previous game and the O/U was set at 69. The under cashed and San Jose State failed to cover in the team’s 35-22 defeat to Oregon.
- In its last three matchups, Hawaii is 0-2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- Hawaii was favored by 37 points in its last game and the Over/Under going into it was 69.5. The under cashed and Hawaii was not able to cover in the 42-21 victory over Duquesne.
- Hawaii, as a team, has averaged 5.7 yards per carry over its last two games.
- San Jose State has averaged 0.7 yards per carry over its last two.
