Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Free Preview

Victor TrejosArticles, Baseball, MLB

The New York Yankees are paying a visit to Boston to face their division rival Red Sox at Fenway Park. The game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET and Pix11 will televise the matchup.

New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Odds

New York (-120) is favored against Boston (+110) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at nine runs (-125 for the over and +105 for the under). The game’s current runline odds stand at +125 for betting the Yankees -1.5 runs and -145 for the Red Sox +1.5 runs.

The Red Sox are 107-52 straight up (SU) and 93-66 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 33.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 24.4 units (ATS). Boston has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total went over in five of those seven. The Yankees have gone 98-61 SU this year and are 77-81 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 11.8 units for moneyline bettors and 14.8 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Boston games have a 74-77-8 over/under record in 2018. The Yankees have an over/under record of 73-78-7.

J.A. Happ is getting the nod for the visiting Yankees. The left-handed Happ (16-6, 3.57 ERA) has recorded 186 strikeouts in 171.2 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with 22 strikeouts and a 0.54 ERA against Boston this year (three starts).

The Red Sox are sending lefty Brian Johnson (4-4, 4.11 ERA) to the mound. Johnson has 85 strikeouts and 36 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.42 WHIP. Johnson is 1-0 with 16 strikeouts and a 3.72 ERA in one start against New York this year.

New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.00 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.18 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.36, along with a K/9 of 11.38.

The Yankees offense has slashed .249/.332/.450 on its way to 5.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 7.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Miguel Andujar and Giancarlo Stanton have paced New York’s offense. Andujar is slashing .296/.328/.525 with 27 home runs, 90 RBIs and 80 runs scored. Stanton is hitting .262 with 37 homers, 97 RBIs and 101 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Boston’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 3.78 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.60 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 73 games against AL East foes, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 3.77 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.03.

The Boston offense is putting up 5.4 runs per outing, including 5.5 per game against divisional foes and 7.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .281/.373/.516 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts have led the Red Sox hitters this year. Martinez is hitting .330/.403/.629 with 42 home runs, 127 RBIs and 109 runs scored, and the line for Betts stands at .346/.437/.643 with 32 homers, 80 RBIs, 126 runs and 30 stolen bases.

The Yankees have gained 1.9 units and are 19-25 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 19 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have netted 1.1 units and are 19-17 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 16 of those games, compared to 18 which went under the total.

New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • New York has logged 21 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Boston has 26 XBH over its last five.
  • The Yankees have won three of their last four games SU.
  • Boston has recorded 26.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 28.6 over its last five.
  • The Yankees have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit 16 over their last 10.