The Miami Marlins will take on their divisional rival Washington Nationals at Nationals Park. The matchup will begin at 4:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network to catch the action.
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Odds
The Nationals are 80-78 straight up (SU) and 74-83 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 26.3 units for moneyline bettors and 12.8 units (ATS). Washington has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 62-95 SU and have gone 81-75 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 2.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.2 units ATS. Miami’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Nationals games have a 73-81-3 over/under record in 2018. The Marlins have an over/under record of 77-74-5.
Southpaw Wei-Yin Chen is projected to start for the visiting Marlins. Chen is 6-11 with a 4.66 ERA and 110 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with 12 strikeouts and a 5.19 ERA against Washington this year (three starts).
The Nationals are handing the ball to Kyle McGowin (0-0, 6.75 ERA), who’s got three strikeouts and zero walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 0.75. McGowin has yet to face the Marlins this year and did not pitch in the majors last season.
Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.40 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.66 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.38, along with a WHIP of 1.30.
The Marlins offense has slashed .238/.305/.359 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game this season, including 3.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson have led Miami’s offense. Castro is slashing .278/.329/.400 with 12 home runs, 54 RBIs and 76 runs scored, while Anderson (.272/.355/.394) has produced 10 homers, 62 RBIs and 85 runs scored.
For the home team, Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.02, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.0. The bullpen has a 3.94 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. In 75 games against divisional foes, Nationals starters have an ERA of 4.19 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.22.
Washington’s hitters have produced 4.7 runs per outing, including 5.3 per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .273/.391/.503 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Nationals’ offense has been led by shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon. Turner is hitting .271/.344/.412 with 18 home runs, 68 RBIs, 101 runs and 43 stolen bases, while Rendon’s line is .312/.378/.540 with 24 homers, 91 RBIs and 87 runs scored.
The Nationals have lost 20.0 units and are 18-25 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 22 of those games, compared to 20 that’ve gone under.
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in only two of Miami’s last seven outings.
- Miami has posted 20.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.0 over its last five.
- The Marlins have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Nationals have hit 12 over their last 10.
