The New York Mets will do battle against the Atlanta Braves at Citi Field. SportsNet New York is in line to broadcast the matchup. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Odds
Atlanta (+140) is entering this game as the underdog to New York (-150) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 7 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). The game’s current runline odds sit at -155 for taking the Braves +1.5 runs and +135 for the Mets -1.5.
The Braves are 88-68 SU and are 80-75 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 22.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.9 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 73-83 SU and 78-77 ATS. The team’s lost 9.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.4 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Mets games have had an over/under record of 68-78-9 in 2018. Atlanta has an over/under record of 75-74-6.
Touki Toussaint is getting the nod for the visiting Braves. The right-handed Toussaint is 2-1 with a 4.30 ERA and 23 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Mets are putting the ball in the right hand of Noah Syndergaard (12-4, 3.36 ERA, 1.27 WHIP), who has 144 strikeouts and 37 walks this season. Syndergaard is 0-1 with nine strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA over two starts against Atlanta this year.
New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.70, a WHIP of 1.20 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a 4.97 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.4 K/9. In 70 games against divisional foes, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.60 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.95.
The New York hitters are putting up 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .223/.327/.343 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Shortstop Amed Rosario and outfielder Michael Conforto have led the Mets’ hitters this year. Rosario is slashing .261/.299/.391 with nine home runs, 50 RBIs, 76 runs and 22 steals, and Conforto is hitting .242 with 27 homers, 80 RBIs and 74 runs.
In the other dugout, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.57 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.57 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.11, along with a WHIP of 1.22 and a K/9 of 8.83.
The Braves offense has slashed .258/.328/.422 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game this year, including 5.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).
Atlanta’s hitters have been paced by first baseman Freddie Freeman and outfielder Nick Markakis, who have combined to blast 37 home runs. Freeman is hitting .311/.389/.506 with 23 home runs, 95 RBIs and 94 runs scored, while Markakis (.301/.368/.449) is up to 14 homers, 93 RBIs and 77 runs scored.
The Braves have gained 24.7 units and are 62-49 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 52 of those games, compared to 54 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 2.6 units and are 58-56 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 52 of those games, compared to 56 that went under the total.
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Atlanta has tallied 12 extra-base hits over its last five outings. New York has 15 XBH over its last five.
- The Braves have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit nine over their last 10.
- The Atlanta defense has allowed zero errors over its last five games, compared to three errors for New York over its last five.
- The Mets have won three of their last four games SU.
