Toledo Rockets at Nevada Wolf Pack Betting Free Pick

Victor TrejosArticles, College Football, Football

The Rockets of Toledo (-12) are ready to host the Nevada Wolf Pack at Glass Bowl. Fans can catch the action live on CBS Sports Network and kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: Toledo Rockets vs. Nevada Wolf Pack

In this Saturday game, Toledo is getting picked as the heavy favorite and is currently giving up 12 points. The Wolf Pack are also receiving +340 moneyline odds while the Rockets are -475. It appears that there might be some good live betting opportunities while the contest is underway, and Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 66.5 points.

The early action has leaned toward the Rockets, as the opening line was -10. The game’s total has not moved after being initially set at 66.5.

The Wolf Pack are 1-2 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 0.0 units so far. The team’s posted an O/U record of 1-1.

The Rockets are down 1.0 unit for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 1-1 ATS and have an O/U record of 1-0.

The Wolf Pack are 2-1 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Rockets are 1-1 SU.

The Wolf Pack are coming off a 37-35 win over Oregon State last week. Ty Gangi completed just 17 passes on 35 attempts for 195 yards, two scores and one interception. Toa Taua (81 yards on 12 rush attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Gangi (61 yards on eight carries) spearheaded the running attack in the win. McLane Mannix (five receptions, 85 yards, one TD) and Jaxson Kincaide (four catches, 12 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties.

Toledo just fell 49-24 to Miami (FL). The defensive unit allowed the Hurricanes to kill the clock by running for 268 yards on 53 rush attempts, including five rush TDs. Jeff Thomas put up a productive showing, posting 105 yards on five catches for Miami (FL). For Toledo, Mitchell Guadagni completed 13-of-21 passes for 222 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Guadagni (47 rushing yards on 15 attempts) spearheaded the ground game in the defeat while Diontae Johnson (six receptions, 119 yards, two TDs) and Seymour (two catches, 34 yards) led the Toledo pass-catchers.

Nevada has run the ball on 46.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Toledo has an overall rush percentage of 59.6 percent. The Wolf Pack have rushed for 135.3 yards/game and have six touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Rockets are logging 162.5 rushing yards per game and have six total rush TDs.

Judging by the early season results, it seems like the Wolf Pack could hold an edge when it comes to RB efficiency, as their running backs has logged 4.5 yards per carry while their defense is allowing a YPC of 3.2 to opponents. The Rockets have registered 4.0 yards per carry and given up 3.9 YPC to opponents.

The Wolf Pack offensive scheme has logged 279.0 yards per contest in the air overall and has seven passing TDs so far. The Rockets have produced 306.0 pass yards per game and have five total pass scores.

Nevada has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 128.7 yards and pass for 323.3 yards per game. The Toledo defense has allowed 189.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 160.5 yards per game to opposing runners. The Rockets are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 4.03 to opponents, while the Wolf Pack have given up a 6.66 ANY/A.

Offensively, Gangi has amassed 537 passing yards this season. He’s completed 33-of-61 attempts with five scores through the air and two interceptions. He’s got an 8.51 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 4.10 over the past two outings.

For the home team, Mitchell Guadagni has managed to complete 13-of-21 passes for 222 yards, two TDs and one INT. Guadagni’s ANY/A stands at 7.68 for the year and 12.61 across his last two outings.

When these two teams faced one another a year ago, Toledo earned the win 37-24.

Nevada Wolf Pack at Toledo Rockets Bedding Prediction

SU Winner: Toledo, ATS Winner: Toledo, O/U: Under

Betting Notes

  • The Wolf Pack offense has produced four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Rockets have put up two such plays.
  • The Nevada defense has allowed six pass plays of 40+ yards, while Toledo has given up two such plays.
  • The Nevada offense has created five rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Toledo has created zero such run.
  • The Wolf Pack defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Rockets have given up one such run.
  • The Nevada defensive unit has 10 sacks on the year while Toledo has just four.
  • Nevada was favored by 4 points in its previous game and the Over/Under was set at 68. The over cashed and Nevada did not cover in the 37-35 victory over Oregon State.
  • Toledo was the underdog by 12 points in its last outing and the O/U was 57.5. The over cashed and Toledo did not cover in the 49-24 defeat to Miami (FL).