Kentucky Wildcats at Mississippi State Bulldogs NCAA Football Free Betting Matchup

Victor TrejosArticles, College Football, Football

The Kentucky Wildcats are set to battle the No 14 Mississippi State Bulldogs in a showdown where one unbeaten streak will reach four games The opening kickoff for this conference game is scheduled for 7:00 pm ET and ESPN2 will televise the action

Betting Preview: Mississippi State Bulldogs at Kentucky Wildcats

Kentucky is a live dog here and is currently getting 95 points The Bulldogs are also receiving -370 moneyline odds while the Wildcats are +290 If one squad gets out in front in the early stages it will create a reasonable in-game betting scenario Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 54 points,

Square bettors have been hammering the Wildcats, as the line opened at 105 The O/U hasn’t changed after being initially placed at 54

The Bulldogs have recorded 10 unit so far and are 3-0 against the spread (ATS) The team has posted an O/U mark of 1-1

The surprising Wildcats have gained 53 units this season They’re 1-2 ATS and also have an O/U record of 1-1

The Bulldogs are 3-0 straight up (SU) and they haven’t faced any SEC competition yet The Wildcats are 3-0 SU overall and 1-0 SU in conference play

When these two programs met a year ago, Mississippi State won soundly 45-7

The Bulldogs are hoping to stay unbeaten after a 56-10 victory over Louisiana last week The Bulldogs D did its part in the win, keeping the Ragin’ Cajuns to just 245 passing yards and 65 rushing yards On the offensive side of the ball, Nick Fitzgerald completed 14 passes for 243 yards and two touchdowns Fitzgerald (107 yards on 15 rush attempts, four TDs) also led the ground attack and was complemented by Aeris Williams (101 yards on 11 carries, one TD) Keith Mixon (four receptions, 80 yards, one TD) and Stephen Guidry (three catches, 57 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the win

Kentucky is coming off of a 48-10 win over Murray State As a group, the team collectively completed 24-of-31 passes for 283 yards and two touchdowns Terry Wilson went 19-for-25 for 163 yards while Gunnar Hoak was four-of-five for 77 yards and one touchdown Benny Snell (75 yards on 15 rush attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Wilson (80 yards on 13 carries, one TD) led the running game as Lynn Bowden (eight receptions, 89 yards) and Dorian Baker (four catches, 25 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win

Mississippi State has run the ball on 591 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Kentucky has an overall rush percentage of 632 percent The Bulldogs have produced 3117 rush yards per game and have 12 scores on the ground this year The Wildcats are averaging 2823 rushing yards per game and have nine total rush TDs

Based on the early season results, it’s looking like the Bulldogs should own an advantage in terms of efficiency in the ground game, as their backfield has produced 76 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 25 YPC to opponents The Wildcats have rushed for 67 yards per carry and allowed a YPC of 41 to opponents

The Bulldogs offense has tallied 2760 yards/game through the air overall and has nine passing scores so far The Wildcats have put up 1873 pass yards per game and have five total pass TDs

Defensively, Mississippi State has allowed 850 rush yards and 1740 pass yards per game The Kentucky D has allowed 1830 yards per game to opposing passers and 1227 yards per game on the ground The Bulldogs are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 363 to opposing QBs, while the Wildcats have given up a 422 ANY/A

Offensively, Fitzgerald is up to 243 passing yards this year, and has completed 67 percent of his 21 attempts with two scores through the air and has yet to throw an interception He has a sparkling 1161 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 832 over the past two games

For the home team, Terry Wilson has connected on 30-of-43 passes for 241 yards, zero TDs and two INTs Wilson’s ANY/A stands at a very poor 322 for the year and 721 over his last two outings

Mississippi State Bulldogs at Kentucky Wildcats Bedding Prediction

SU Winner: Mississippi State, ATS Winner: Mississippi State, O/U: Under

Betting Trends

  • The Kentucky offense has lost three fumbles this season while Mississippi State has not lost any
  • The Mississippi State D has twice as many sacks as Kentucky this year (10 versus five)
  • Mississippi State has averaged 83 yards per carry over its last two contests
  • Kentucky has averaged 65 yards per carry over its last two
  • Mississippi State was favored by 35 points in its last game and the O/U was 63 The over cashed and Mississippi State covered in the 56-10 win over Louisiana
  • Kentucky was favored by -41 points in its previous game The team failed to cover that spread in the 48-10 victory over Murray State