Cleveland Indians at Boston Red Sox Free Pick

Victor TrejosArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Boston Red Sox will pay a visit to Progressive Field to play the Cleveland Indians. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and SportsTime Ohio is in line to broadcast this AL matchup.

Boston Red Sox at Cleveland Indians Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Boston (-125) as the favorite over Cleveland (+115). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at +100 for over eight runs and -120 for under eight. Runline odds sit at +120 for taking the Red Sox -1.5 runs and -140 for the Indians +1.5.

The Red Sox have gone 104-49 SU this year and are 88-64 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 34.3 units for moneyline bettors and 22.0 units ATS. The Indians, on the other hand, are 85-67 SU and 72-79 ATS. They’ve lost 20.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 17.5 units ATS.

Cleveland games have an over/under record of 72-70-9 in 2018. Boston has been a decent under bet with a total record of 69-75-8.

The left-handed Chris Sale is the probable starter for Boston. Sale is 12-4 with a 1.92 ERA and 222 strikeouts. He has yet to face Cleveland this year, but he did make two starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 0-1 record with a 14.63 ERA and eight strikeouts.

The Indians are handing the ball to righty Trevor Bauer (12-6, 2.22 ERA), who’s got 214 punchouts and 56 walks to his name, as well as a 1.09 WHIP. Bauer made two starts against the team in 2017, compiling a spotless 2-0 record in 2017, compiling a spotless 2-0 record with a 5.25 ERA.

As a unit, Cleveland’s pitchers have yielded 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 3.45 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.51 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.

The Cleveland hitters have put up 5.0 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 6.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .273/.387/.465 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Francisco Lindor and left fielder Michael Brantley have paced the Indians’ batters this year. Lindor is hitting .282/.355/.528 with 36 home runs, 87 RBIs, 123 runs and 23 stolen bases, and Brantley’s line sits at .306/.361/.473 with 17 homers, 74 RBIs and 84 runs.

In the other dugout, Boston’s pitching staff allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.75 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.53 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.58, along with a WHIP of 1.21 and a K/9 of 9.56.

Red Sox hitters have slashed .267/.339/.450 on their way to 5.3 runs scored per game this year, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Boston’s offense has been powered by J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts, who have combined to swat 71 home runs. Martinez is hitting .331/.400/.629 with 41 home runs, 124 RBIs and 106 runs scored. Betts is hitting .339/.432/.625 with 30 homers, 77 RBIs, 121 runs and 28 stolen bases.

The Red Sox have gained 33.2 units and are 69-47 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 53 of those games, compared to 57 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 8.6 units and are 18-22 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 18 of those games, as opposed to 18 that’ve gone under.

Boston Red Sox at Cleveland Indians Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in just two of Cleveland’s last seven games.
  • Boston has posted 20.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.8 over its last five.
  • The Red Sox have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Indians have hit 14 over their last 10.