The Seattle Mariners will be facing off against their divisional foe Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park. The matchup will begin at 8:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to ATTSN Southwest to catch the game.
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros Odds
Houston (-225) is hosting this one as the favorite over Seattle (+205) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at +100 for the under and -120 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at Mariners +1.5 runs (-105) and Astros -1.5 runs (-115).
The Astros are 94-56 straight up (SU) and 76-73 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle a whole lot for gamblers, losing 4.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.8 units (ATS). Houston has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Mariners have gone 83-67 SU this year and are 72-77 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 10.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline, but have lost 12.7 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Houston games have a 67-75-7 over/under record in 2018. Seattle has an over/under record of 72-75-2.
Right-hander Mike Leake will get the nod for the visiting Mariners. Leake (10-9, 3.99 ERA) has recorded 114 strikeouts in 178 innings so far. He’s 0-2 with 15 strikeouts and a 5.00 ERA against Houston this year (three starts).
The Astros will put the ball in the hands of Josh James (0-0, 4.22 ERA, 0.94 WHIP), who’s got 17 strikeouts and four walks this season. James hasn’t faced the Mariners yet this year and did not pitch in the majors in 2017.
Houston’s pitchers have given up 3.3 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starters have a 3.18 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 10.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 3.03, a WHIP of 1.07 and a K/9 of 10.8. In 71 games against AL West foes, Astros starters have an ERA of 3.47 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.60.
Houston’s offense is putting up 4.9 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .256/.360/.344 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Astros’ hitters have been led by third baseman Alex Bregman and second baseman Jose Altuve. Bregman is hitting .292/.399/.547 with 30 home runs, 100 RBIs and 101 runs scored, and Altuve’s line sits at .318/.387/.457 with 12 homers, 57 RBIs, 78 runs and 16 stolen bases.
In the visiting dugout, Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.28 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.75 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.81, along with a WHIP of 1.25.
Mariners hitters have slashed .254/.316/.407 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Seattle’s hitters have been led by shortstop Jean Segura and right fielder Mitch Haniger. The speedy Segura is slashing .306/.341/.418 with nine home runs, 60 RBIs, 84 runs and 20 stolen bases, while Haniger (.282/.365/.492) is up to 25 homers, 89 RBIs and 80 runs scored.
The Astros have gained 2.7 units and are 49-43 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 41 of those games, compared to 46 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers.
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- The under has hit in four of Seattle’s last seven games.
- The Mariners have won four of their last five games SU.
- Houston has recorded 21.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.0 over its last five.
- Each team has hit nine home runs over its last 10 games.
